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Romania Metals Report 2015

  • May 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 30 pages

BMI View:
Romania's metals sector will continue to see modest growth over the coming years as it slowly recovers from the global downturn. This is primarily the case for steel, the largest sub-component of Romania's metals sector. With modest growth in both autos production and the country's construction sector, we expect modest growth in steel output over the next five years. In addition, with our expectation for steel prices to head broadly lower over the coming years, we see few sources of encouragement for the sector. Therefore, whilst we forecast modest growth in output, it will remain far off 2007 highs.

Romanian crude steel output demonstrated modest growth in 2013 of 1.0%, however, production is still more than a third less than pre-2008 levels. We note that output was damaged by Mechel's withdrawal from its Romanian assets. BMI forecasts an acceleration in growth in 2014 at 2.0% year-on-year (y-oy), however, to reach 3.39mn tonnes (mnt) of crude steel. We expect growth to accelerate further by 2.4% in 2015, to reach 3.47mnt. Supporting this forecast, ArcelorMittal Galati Romania has announced that it
expects to increase its steel production by 15% to more than 2mnt in 2015 from 1.6mnt, after major technical upgrades of its production process. The group has invested EUR10mn for its unit in Galati, according to CEO of Business Division Galati-Skopje Bruno Ribo. 'This forecast is possible only thanks to the measures taken by the authorities in the past months to support restoring the competitiveness of the Romanian business environment, especially aimed to re-establish rational prices for natural gas and
electricity', Galati said in a statement.

Table Of Contents

Romania Metals Report 2015
BMI Industry View ... 5
Metals SWOT 7
Industry Forecast 9
Steel: Minimal Growth Ahead .. 9
Table: Steel Production and Consumption (Romania 2011-2018).....................11
Table: Steel Industry Historical Data (Romania 2006-2013)...................... . . 12
Regulatory Development .. 13
Commodities Forecast . 15
Table: BMI Steel Price Forecast.............................. 15
Market Balance: Declining Surpluses In Years Ahead ... 18
Table: Steel Forecasts................................ . . 22
Competitive Landscape 23
Table: Europe - Major Listed Metal Producers.......................... 24
Company Profile 25
Global Company Strategy - ArcelorMittal - Q2 2015 .. 25
Company Overview 27
Company Strategy .. 27
Latest Financial Results .. 29
Company Details ... 29
Financial Data .. 29
Table: ArcelorMittal - Key Financial Data........................... . 29
Methodology .. 30
Cross Checks 30

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