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Russia Metals Report 2015

  • September 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 53 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI’s commercial banking forecast series covers 62 countries accounting for 80% of global GDP. Each report, researched at source, features BMI’s independent assessment and 5-year forecasts to end-2017 for the commercial banking sector in each market. Using its expertise in both country risk and financial markets analysis, BMI has created exclusive models to forecast a wealth of key variables on the commercial banking sector. Historic and forecast data are provided for the sector’s total asset and liability growth, client loans, and client deposits. Forecasts for key ratios including the loan-deposit ratio and the loan-asset ratio are also included, as well as core macro-economic forecasts.

Data is presented in both local currency and US dollar terms.Each report examines key drivers of growth and future prospects, including the macroeconomic situation, the level of development and potential for growth of the banking sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, government policy and the regulatory environment. Central to BMI’s analysis are our unique Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings. BMI’s unique country-comparative Risk-Reward Rating provides a clear, quantified, independent assessment of the opportunities and dangers of operating in each market.

The methodology draws together our in-depth knowledge of competitive pressures, our comprehensive industry market forecasts, and our Country Risk team’s unrivalled analysis of economic, political and operational risks.The reports also feature profiles of leading banks, covering total assets, liabilities, client deposits, lending, bond holdings, main products and services, competitive positioning and ownership structure.

Table Of Contents

Russia Metals Report 2015
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 9
Production To Pick Up Beyond 2016 9
High Relative Capacity Utilisation Rates 11
Table: Steel Production and Consumption (Russia 2014-2019) 12
Table: Steel Industry Historical Data (Russia 2010-2013) 12
Aluminium: Growth To Remain Modest 13
Table: Aluminium Production and Consumption (Russia 2014-2019) 15
Nickel: Growth To Remain Weak 16
Table: Russia: Refined Nickel Production and Consumption (Russia 2014-2019) 18
Regulatory Development 19
Key Details 19
Trade and Investment Risk Analysis 19
Commodities Forecast 23
Steel: Oversupply To Subdue Prices Until 2017 23
Table: BMI Steel Price Forecast 23
Market Balance: Surplus To Persist Until 2017 26
Table: Steel Forecasts (2015-2019) 31
Global - Metals: Lower Costs And Weak Demand To Anchor Prices 32
Metal Price Weakness: Chinese Equity Slump and US Dollar Strength 33
US Dollar Strength To Anchor Weak Metal Prices 34
Competitive Landscape 36
Table: Russia - Largest Listed Metals Producers - Financial Data 37
Company Profile 38
Severstal 38
Table: Severstal - Key Financial Data 40
Global Company Strategy - Norilsk Nickel - Q4 2015 41
Company Overview 42
Company Strategy 43
Table: Norilsk Nickel - Supply Chain Analysis 44
Table: Norilsk Nickel - Key Financial Data 45
Global Company Strategy - RUSAL - Q1 2015 46
Latest Results 50
Table: Rusal - Supply Chain Analysis 51
Table: RUSAL - Key Financial Data 51
Methodology 53
Cross Checks 53

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