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Saudi Arabia Power Report Q1 2016

  • November 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 61 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The outlook for public spending on all but the most important power sector infrastructure hasdarkened this quarter as the Saudi government undertakes fiscal consolidation - with the government likelyto cut capex as it faces up to lower oil revenues. Delays and cancellations to the most ambitious and costlyprojects across all areas of the power sector remain the biggest risk to our forecasts as the Kingdomrationalises spending.

Latest Trends And Developments:

-The outlook for Saudi Arabia's economy has deteriorated this quarter as lower oil prices force thegovernment to ramp up the pace of fiscal consolidation. Given the power sector's reliance on governmentspending, this has by extension darkened our capacity and generation forecasts.

-These conditions do not mean that the government will not spend on power infrastructure as it attempts tokeep pace with surging electricity demand and diversify the oil-heavy power mix so as to preserve oil forexport (rather than burning it domestically). It does, however, mean that certain projects - such as theFadhili gas project - which are crucial to the Saudi energy sector will be realised while others will bedelayed or cancelled.

Table Of Contents

Saudi Arabia Power Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (2013-2019) 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 9
Saudi Arabia Snapshot 9
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Saudi Arabia 2014-2019) 9
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Saudi Arabia 2019-2024) 9
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector 9
Saudi Arabia Power Forecast Scenario 10
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity 10
Table: Saudi Arabia - Original 2032 Power Sector Targets (Now Pushed Back To 2040) 11
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Saudi Arabia 2013-2018) 22
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Saudi Arabia 2019-2024) 23
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Saudi Arabia 2013-2018) 24
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Saudi Arabia 2019-2024) 25
Electricity Consumption 25
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Saudi Arabia 2013-2018) 27
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Saudi Arabia 2019-2024) 27
Transmission and Distribution 27
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Saudi Arabia 2013-2018) 29
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (Saudi Arabia 2019-2024) 29
Industry Risk/Reward Index 30
MENA Power RRI: GCC Still Firmly On Top 30
Saudi Arabia Power RRI 37
Rewards 37
Market Overview 39
Key Policies And Market Structure 39
Regulation And Competition 39
Table: IPP - Investment Opportunities 40
Sustainable Energy Policies 41
Saudi Arabia Power Projects Database 42
Competitive Landscape 44
Saudi Electricity Company (SEC) 45
Regional Overview 46
MEA Power: Key Regional Themes 46
Glossary 55
Table: Glossary Of Terms 55
Methodology 56
Methodology And Sources 56
Industry Forecast Methodology 56
Sources 59
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 59
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators 60
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 61

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