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South Africa Autos Report Q1 2016

  • January 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 39 pages

BMI View: Total vehicle sales are forecast to grow 1.7% in 2016 and at an annual average of 1.8% over our 2016-2019 forecast period. The headwinds within the South African economy will drag on new vehicle sales, with the export market providing the outlet required for growth to remain in positive territory.

Key Views

-Ongoing power shortages continue to provide upside risks to total vehicle sales and production levels

-The export market will provide support to total vehicle sales as the domestic outlook weakens

-Consumer tastes are shifting towards the more affordable used car market

-Automotive Production and Development Programme to provide support to total vehicle production and sales

Table Of Contents

South Africa Autos Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 10
Industry Forecast Scenario 10
Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (South Africa 2013-2019) 10
Passenger Vehicles 17
Table: Passenger Car Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (South Africa 2013-2019) 17
Table: Top 10 Brands By Market Share 17
Commercial Vehicles 18
Table: Commercial Vehicle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (South Africa 2013-2019) 18
Table: Top Light Commercial Vehicle Brands By Market Share 18
Table: Top Medium Commercial Vehicle Brands By Market Share 19
Table: Top Heavy Commercial Vehicle Brands By Market Share 19
Table: Top Extra Heavy Commercial Vehicle Brands By Market Share 20
Table: Top Bus Brands By Market Share 20
Industry Risk/Reward Ratings 21
Sub-Saharan Africa - Risk/Reward Index 21
Outperformers Are Production Hubs 21
Policy Not Always Positive 22
Weak Currency A Barrier To Improvement 23
Company Profile 24
Toyota South Africa Motors (TSAM) 24
Volkswagen South Africa (VWSA) 26
Ford Motor Company of Southern Africa (FMCSA) 27
Regional Overview 29
Africa Overview 29
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa - Autos Production Investment 29
South Africa A Safe Haven? 29
Nigeria Gathers Pace 30
Demographic Forecast 31
Demographic Outlook 31
Table: Population Headline Indicators (South Africa 1990-2025) 32
Table: Key Population Ratios (South Africa 1990-2025) 32
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (South Africa 1990-2025) 33
Table: Population By Age Group (South Africa 1990-2025) 33
Table: Population By Age Group % (South Africa 1990-2025) 34
Methodology 36
Industry Forecasts 36
Sector-Specific Methodology 37
Sources 37
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 38
Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Index Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators 39

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