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Ukraine Telecommunications Report Q1 2016

  • January 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 60 pages

BMI View: 3G has finally come to Ukraine with the launch of commercial services by Astelit and Kyivstar. This is a huge opportunity for operators to turn around their fortunes with higher revenues from mobile data services. The telecoms sector has been artificially held back for many years as a result of the lack of 3G and fierce competition for data subscribers will help with innovation and value added services. Ukraine has one of the lowest ARPUs in Europe and we expect this will begin to improve as a result. This is due to the high share of inactive prepaid contracts in the subscriber mix and the depreciation of the local currency as result of the ongoing crisis, and we expect 3G will still affect the market positively.

As regulator NKRZI (NCCIR) approved in August 2015 a roadmap to implement 4G LTE mobile services in the country until 2017, we expect operators will have to plan their investment into networks carefully, while competition in the mobile broadband market increases. The main components of the roadmap include changes to the national frequency allocation table/usage plan and re-farming existing frequencies for LTE under a new technology-neutral licensing regimen. The plan aims to catch up with technology used by other countries.

Table Of Contents

Ukraine Telecommunications Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 5
SWOT 7
Industry Forecast 9
ARPU 10
Fixed Line 10
Broadband 11
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Ukraine 2012-2019) 13
Industry Risk Reward Index 15
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Telecoms Risk/Rewards Index, Q1 2016 18
Market Overview 20
Market Drivers and Trends 20
Mobile 20
Regulatory Development 29
Table: Regulatory Body Responsibilities 30
Regulatory Developments 32
Table: Selected Regulatory Developments 33
Company Profile 34
Astelit 34
MTS Ukraine 38
Ukrtelecom 41
VimpelCom (Kyivstar) 45
Demographic Forecast 49
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Ukraine 1990-2025) 50
Table: Key Population Ratios (Ukraine 1990-2025) 50
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Ukraine 1990-2025) 51
Table: Population By Age Group (Ukraine 1990-2025) 51
Table: Population By Age Group % (Ukraine 1990-2025) 52
Glossary 54
Table: Glossary Of Terms 54
Methodology 56
Industry Forecast Methodology 56
Sources 58
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 58
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators 59
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 60

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