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United Arab Emirates Power Report Q1 2016

  • January 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 58 pages

BMI View: Our forecast for the UAE power sector remains bullish over the next decade, driven by the UAE government's efforts to expand its power capacity. As corroborated by recent developments, we continue to expect the UAE to focus on expanding its nascent nuclear and solar industries, which will result in these two sectors making a much greater contribution to the country's electricity capacity and generation mix over our forecast period. While solar and nuclear gain traction, the role of natural gas in the power mix will diminish, freeing up gas for export. Yet we remain sceptical about the ability of the country to meet its targets with the anticipated speed.

Key Trends And Developments

-The UAE government - at both the federal and emirate levels - will continue to prioritise generating capacity expansion programmes, focusing on integrating a wider range of fuel sources into its electricity mix. Nuclear and renewable energy are high on the list of priorities, as the government looks to conserve domestic hydrocarbon reserves for export. Despite the dominance of natural gas, nuclear and renewables will grow significantly over our 10-year forecast period, as a strong project pipeline for nuclear reactors and solar power plants begins to go online.

-Dubai is positioning itself as a major investment destination for international solar power developers - underscored by our broader outlook for strong growth in solar capacity in the UAE. Intense competition when bidding for solar projects, the construction of a solar panel manufacturing facility and an improving regulatory environment provide a blueprint for other countries in the Middle East to follow.

Table Of Contents

United Arab Emirates Power Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (United Arab Emirates 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 10
United Arab Emirates Snapshot 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (United Arab Emirates 2014-2019) 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (United Arab Emirates 2019-2024) 10
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector 10
United Arab Emirates Power Forecast Scenario 11
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity 11
Thermal Generation and Thermal Generating Capacity 12
Nuclear Generation and Nuclear Generating Capacity 14
Table: Planned UAE Nuclear Power Reactors 15
Renewables Generation And Generating Capacity 16
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (United Arab Emirates 2013-2018) 18
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (United Arab Emirates 2019-2024) 19
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (United Arab Emirates 2013-2018) 20
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (United Arab Emirates 2019-2024) 20
Electricity Consumption 21
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (United Arab Emirates 2013-2018) 22
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (United Arab Emirates 2019-2024) 23
Transmission And Distribution, Imports And Exports 23
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (United Arab Emirates 2013-2018) 24
Table: Electric Power TandD Losses Data And Forecasts (United Arab Emirates 2019-2024) 24
Industry Risk/Reward Index 25
MENA Power Risk/Reward Index 25
United Arab Emirates Power Risk/Reward Index 32
Rewards 32
Risks 33
Market Overview 34
Key Policies And Market Structure 34
Regulation And Competition 34
Sustainable Energy Policies 35
United Arab Emirates Power Projects Database 36
Table: United Arab Emirates - Top 10 Power Projects By Capacity 36
Competitive Landscape 38
DEWA 38
ADWEA 39
TAQA 39
Company Profile 40
TAQA 40
Regional Overview 43
MEA Power: Key Regional Themes 43
Glossary 52
Table: Glossary Of Terms 52
Methodology 53
Methodology And Sources 53
Industry Forecast Methodology 53
Sources 56
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 56
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators 57
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 58

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