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Australia Defence and Security Report 2016

  • May 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 38 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The Australian government plans large increases in defence spending over the next decade, inorder to modernise the ADF - in particular the navy - amid rising threats linked to East and South ChinaSeas territorial disputes, regional military build-ups, terrorism and cybercrime. Large-scale procurementprogrammes will be carried out over our forecast period to 2025 - most of which will be covered by foreigndefence companies, due to Australia's still-limited military industrial base. That said, we see significantpotential for expansion of the domestic defence sector in the longer term, as local companies - for whichgovernment support is strengthening - benefit from technology transfer agreements tied to military importcontracts.

Latest Updates:

- The government has reiterated its commitment to raising defence spending to 2% of GDP, amid growingthreats from terrorism, regional military build-ups, tensions surrounding the East and South China Seasterritorial disputes and cybercrime. According to its current budget model and our GDP projections, thiswill occur by 2019. The government has decided to 'de-couple' its defence spending from GDP growth,which means that even if economic expansion slows, the military budget will still increase according to2016 Defence White Paper plans.

- The recently published Defence White Paper envisions major capability investments into six 'streams' inthe next 10 years. These streams are: ISR, space, EW and cyber (to receive 9% of overall investment);maritime and anti-submarine warfare (25%); strike and combat air (17%); land combat and amphibiouswarfare (18%); key enablers (to support operation and sustainment of defence) (25%); and air and sea lift(6%).

- According to the white paper, the size of the ADF will increase by around 2,500 to 62,400 staff over thenext decade, in order to support new capabilities.

- In April 2016, Australia selected France's DCNS as its preferred international partner for a USD39bnprogramme to replace the Collins-class submarines currently in service with the navy, in one of thelargest-ever defence deals globally.

Table Of Contents

Australia Defence and Security Report 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Defence Expenditure Forecasts (Australia 2016-2020) 7
SWOT 9
Defence Industry SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Defence Expenditure 11
Table: Defence Expenditure (Australia 2016-2020) 12
Table: Defence Expenditure (Australia 2021-2025) 12
Defence Trade 13
Table: Australia - Defence Agreements 15
Industry Risk Reward Index 16
Defence Industry Risk Reward Index 16
Table: Asia Pacific - Defence Industry Risk Reward Index 16
Rewards 17
Risks 17
Market Overview 19
Defence Market Overview 19
Domestic Defence Sector 19
Domestic Defence Market 22
Armed Forces Overview 24
Armed Forces 24
Table: Armed Forces Personnel (Australia 2008-2013) 24
Table: Australian Defence Force - International Deployments 25
Security Overview 26
Domestic Threats 26
International Threats 26
Company Profile 28
Austal 28
Boeing Australia 30
BAE Systems Australia 31
Raytheon Australia 33
Thales Australia 34
Methodology 36
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 36
Sector-Specific Methodology 37
Table: Defence Risk/Reward Index Indicators 37
Weighting 38
Table: Weighting of Defence Risk Reward Index 38

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