France Oil and Gas Report Q1 2015

  • January 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 114 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

The political debate regarding shale gas continues to show limited momentum, but there remains some prospect for a reversal to the ban on shale gas exploration. Absent a reversal, the outlook for domestic exploration and production will remain bearish, and the downstream sector will remain vulnerable to further capacity rationalisations.
- The French cabinet approved a long-delayed energy bill in July 2014 that will encourage energy efficiency. The energy bill is expected to become law in early-2015 and the legislation poses some upside risk to our gas consumption outlook. Natural gas could become an attractive option as a backup to intermittent renewables.
- We have lowered our gas consumption forecast to account for revised IEA data and a bearish economic outlook, but the overall trend remains the same as we anticipate moderate growth in demand from the latter end of the forecast period.

Table Of Contents

France Oil and Gas Report Q1 2015
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (France 2012-2018) 7
SWOT 9
Oil and Gas SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Upstream Exploration 11
Table: Proven Oil and Gas Reserves (France 2012-2017) 11
Table: Proven Oil and Gas Reserves (France 2018-2023) 11
Upstream Production - Oil 15
Table: Oil Production (France 2012-2017) 16
Table: Oil Production (France 2018-2023) 16
Upstream Production - Gas 18
Table: Gas Production (France 2012-2017) 18
Table: Gas Production (France 2018-2023) 19
Refining 21
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (France 2012-2017) 21
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (France 2018-2023) 22
Refined Fuels Consumption 24
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (France 2012-2017) 24
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (France 2018-2023) 24
Gas Consumption 25
Table: Gas Consumption (France 2012-2017) 26
Table: Gas Consumption (France 2018-2023) 26
Trade - Oil 28
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (France 2012-2017) 28
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (France 2018-2023) 28
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (France 2012-2017) 29
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (France 2018-2023) 30
Table: Total Net Oil Exports - Crude and Products (France 2012-2017) 31
Table: Total Net Oil Exports - Crude and Products (France 2018-2023) 32
Trade - Gas (Pipeline and LNG) 32
Table: Gas Net Exports (France 2012-2017) 32
Table: Gas Net Exports (France 2018-2023) 33
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 36
North America And Western Europe - Risk/Reward Ratings 36
Table: North America and Western Europe States Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 37
Upstream: US Nearly On Par With Canada 37
Table: Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 37
Western Europe Languishes Without Shale Outlook 40
Downstream: US Comes Out Tops 42
Table: Oil and Gas Downstream Risk/Reward Index 42
France - Risk/Reward Index 45
France Upstream Index - Overview 45
France Upstream Index - Rewards 45
France Upstream Index - Risks 46
France Downstream Index - Overview 46
France Downstream Index - Rewards 46
France Downstream Index - Risks 46
Market Overview 48
France Energy Market Overview 48
Overview/State Role 50
Government Policy 51
International Energy Relations 52
Oil and Gas Infrastructure 52
Oil Refineries 52
Table: Refineries In France 53
Service Stations 56
Gas Pipelines 56
LNG Terminals 57
Table: LNG Terminals In France 58
Gas Storage 58
Competitive Landscape 59
Competitive Landscape Summary 59
Table: Key Players - France Oil And Gas Sector 60
Table: Key Upstream Players 60
Table: Key Downstream Players 60
Company Profile 61
Total 61
GDF Suez 66
Royal Dutch Shell 71
Other Summaries 73
Regional Overview 76
North America And Western Europe Regional 76
Global Industry Overview 85
Table: Key US Production Zones Average Full Cycle Breakeven Cost Per Barrel (USD/bbl) 87
Table: Canadian Oil Sands Average Full Cycle Breakeven Cost Per Barrel (USD/bbl) 88
Table: Middle East Onshore Conventional Breakeven Cost Per Barrel, (USD/BBL) 89
Table: Average Fiscal Breakeven Prices Of Key Middle East Producers 2014 (USD/bbl) 89
Appendix 91
France - Refined Products Breakdown, 10-Year Forecasts 91
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Production Breakdown (France 2012-2017) 91
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Production Breakdown (France 2018-2023) 92
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Consumption Breakdown (France 2012-2017) 93
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Consumption Breakdown (France 2018-2023) 94
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Net Exports Breakdown (France 2012-2017) 95
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Net Exports Breakdown (France 2018-2023) 96
Developed Europe - Regional Appendix 97
Table: Oil Consumption - Historical Data And Forecasts, 2011-2018 ('000b/d) 97
Table: Oil Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 ('000b/d) 98
Table: Oil Production - Historical Data And Forecasts, 2011-2018 ('000b/d) 98
Table: Oil Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 ('000b/d) 99
Table: Refinery Capacity - Historical Data And Forecasts, 2011-2018 ('000b/d) 99
Table: Refining Capacity - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 ('000b/d) 100
Table: Gas Consumption - Historical Data And Forecasts, 2011-2018 (bcm) 100
Table: Gas Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 (bcm) 101
Table: Gas Production - Historical Data And Forecasts, 2011-2018 (bcm) 101
Table: Gas Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 (bcm) 102
Table: LNG Gas Imports (Exports) - Historical Data And Forecasts, 2011-2018 (bcm) 102
Table: LNG Gas Imports (Exports) - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 (bcm) 103
France - Total Hydrocarbons, 10-year Forecasts 103
Table: Total Hydrocarbons Production, Consumption and Net Exports (France 2012-2017) 103
Table: Total Hydrocarbons Production, Consumption and Net Exports (France 2018-2023) 104
Global - Crude Oil, Refined Fuels And Natural Gas Prices, 10-year Forecasts 104
Table: Energy Price Forecasts ( Global 2012-2017) 104
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2018-2023) 105
Glossary 107
Table: Glossary Of Terms 107
Methodology 109
Industry Forecast Methodology 109
Source 111
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 111
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 113
Table: Weighting 114

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