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North Africa Telecommunications Report Q1 2016

  • January 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 122 pages

BMI View: North African telecommunications markets are rapidly evolving from voice-centric marketstowards ones driven by data consumption, with mobile broadband being one of the core drivers in allmarkets. 3G services have been launched with success in Morocco, Algeria and Tunisia, and the licensingand rollout of 4G services is on track. Success is dependent on the overall macroeconomic situation, withhigher purchasing power helping with the development of the telecoms market, while the security situationis always at the forefront in the region. All markets have a mix of public and private operators, thoughliberalisation is not present in all sectors, and the competition has always driven greater uptake in theregion.

Latest Updates & Industry Developments

- The ADSL market grew above 1mn in Morocco, with total 3G subscriptions growing above 10mn

- Currency depreciations had a negative impact for international operators present in Algeria and Tunisia,as USD-denominated ARPU declined

- The Moroccan market posted strong growth in Q3 2015 and the Tunisian market posted modest gains inQ2 2015.

Table Of Contents

North Africa Telecommunications Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Latest Updates and Industry Developments 7
SWOT 9
Telecoms 9
Industry Forecast 11
Algeria 11
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Algeria 2013-2020) 14
Libya 15
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Libya 2013-2020) 18
Morocco 19
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Morocco 2013-2020) 22
Tunisia 23
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Tunisia 2013-2020) 26
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 27
MENA Risk/Reward Index 27
Table: Key Trends In Industry Risks And Rewards, Q116 28
Table: MENA Telecoms Risk/Reward Index, Q1 2016 30
Market Overview 32
Algeria 32
Market Drivers and Trends 32
Mobile 32
Table: 3G Market Data, November 2014 36
Fixed Line 37
Table: Growth Of Fixed Lines By Technology, 2005-2013 ('000) 37
Broadband 38
Libya 39
Mobile 39
Table: Libya Mobile Market, Q414 40
A Third Operator 40
Wireline Voice and Broadband 41
Morocco 43
Mobile 43
Wireline Voice and Broadband 49
Table: Fixed-Line Market, 2013-2015 49
Tunisia 52
Mobile 52
Wireline Voice and Broadband 56
Table: Fixed Line Market, 2014-2015 56
Table: Tunisian Internet Market, 2013-2015 57
Regulatory Development 58
Table: North African Regulatory Environment 58
Algeria 58
Table: Key Developments 59
Libya 60
Morocco 62
Table: Key Developments 63
Tunisia 63
Competitive Landscape 65
Table: Key Players - North Africa Telecoms Sector 65
Algeria 66
Table: Algeria Market Overview 66
Table: Mobilis 66
Table: Djezzy 67
Table: Nedjma 68
Libya 70
Table: Mobile Market Subscribers 70
Table: Libyana 70
Table: Al-Madar 70
Morocco 71
Table: Market Overview 71
Table: Maroc Telecom 72
Table: Meditel 73
Table: Wana 74
Tunisia 74
Table: Tunisia Market Overview 74
Table: Tunisia Telecom 75
Table: Tunisiana (Ooredoo) 75
Table: Orange Tunisia 78
Company Profile 79
Algerie Telecom 79
Maroc Telecom 83
Tunisie Telecom 87
Orascom Telecom 90
Ooredoo (Tunisiana) 93
Demographic Forecast 96
Demographic Outlook 96
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Algeria 1990-2025) 97
Table: Key Population Ratios (Algeria 1990-2025) 97
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Algeria 1990-2025) 98
Table: Population By Age Group (Algeria 1990-2025) 98
Table: Population By Age Group % (Algeria 1990-2025) 99
Demographic Forecast 101
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Libya 1990-2025) 102
Table: Key Population Ratios (Libya 1990-2025) 102
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Libya 1990-2025) 103
Table: Population By Age Group (Libya 1990-2025) 103
Table: Population By Age Group % (Libya 1990-2025) 104
Demographic Outlook 106
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Morocco 1990-2025) 107
Table: Key Population Ratios (Morocco 1990-2025) 107
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Morocco 1990-2025) 108
Table: Population By Age Group (Morocco 1990-2025) 108
Table: Population By Age Group % (Morocco 1990-2025) 109
Demographic Forecast 111
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Tunisia 1990-2025) 112
Table: Key Population Ratios (Tunisia 1990-2025) 112
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Tunisia 1990-2025) 113
Table: Population By Age Group (Tunisia 1990-2025) 113
Table: Population By Age Group % (Tunisia 1990-2025) 114
Glossary 116
Table: Glossary Of Terms 116
Methodology 118
Industry Forecast Methodology 118
Sources 120
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 120
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators 121
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 122

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