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Canada Metals Report 2015

  • May 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 59 pages

BMI View:
The Canadian metals sector will be supported in the years ahead by both an eventual recovery in domestic fixed asset investment and continued demand from US and Mexico. In particular, increasing manufacturing and industrial activity in the latter two countries should help drive demand for metal inputs.
Continued weakening of the Canadian dollar against the US dollar should also support exports.

Stronger economic growth in both the US and Mexico over 2015, combined with a weaker Canadian dollar (CAD) in the coming quarters, will support growth in the Canadian metals sector to 2019. Indeed, we expect both the US and Mexico will experience positive trends in real GDP growth in the coming years, with automotive and general manufacturing activity picking up. Since both countries import significant quantities of refined metal from Canada, they will help underpin metal production growth in the years ahead.

Table Of Contents

Canada Metals Report 2015
BMI Industry View ... 7
SWOT 9
Metals SWOT 9
Industry Forecast .. 11
Aluminium: Excess Supply To Ensure Status As Top Americas Exporter . 11
Production Growth Ahead ... 12
Majority Of Metal Slated For Export . 12
Table: Aluminium Production and Consumption (Canada 2011-2019).................... . . 14
Nickel: Production To Be Aimed For Exports 14
Indonesian Export Restrictions To Be Opportunity For Canada .. 16
Table: Refined Nickel Production and Consumption (Canada 2011-2019)................... . . 17
Steel: Consumption Fundamentals To Remain Stronger .. 17
Domestic Output To Remain Insufficient . 18
Modest Demand Growth Ahead 19
Table: Steel Production and Consumption (Canada 2011-2019)...................... 21
Table: Steel Industry Historical Data (Canada 2006-2013)......................21
Regulatory Development .. 23
Transparency To Be Emphasized ... 23
Local Consultation and Environmental Stewardship To Remain Top Priorities . 24
Tax Regime ... 24
Table: Canada Political Overview............................. . . 25
Commodities Forecast . 26
Commodity Strategy . 26
Ferrous Metals .. 26
Iron Ore: Price Weakness To Continue Over Coming Years ... 26
Steel: Oversupply To Drag Down Prices . 28
Non-Ferrous Metals ... 31
Aluminium: Continued Weakness, But No Sharp Downturn 31
Copper: Recent Relief Rally To Fade . 33
Lead: Prices Weakness To Continue .. 34
Nickel: Subdued Prices Due To Weak Demand Growth . 35
Tin: Supply Deficits To Underpin Rally In Tin Prices 36
Zinc: Positive Multi-Year Outlook, But Increasing Risks In Months Ahead 37
Table: Select Commodities - Performance and BMI Forecasts...................... . . 39
Competitive Landscape 40
Table: Canada - Largest Listed Metals Companies......................... 40
Company Profile 42
US Steel . 42
Company Overview 44
Company Strategy .. 44
Latest Results 45
Table: US Steel - Supply Chain Analysis...........................45
Table: Financial Data................................ . . 46
Address Details . 47
Global Company Strategy - ArcelorMittal - Q2 2015 .. 47
Company Overview 49
Company Strategy .. 49
Latest Financial Results .. 51
Company Details ... 51
Financial Data .. 51
Table: ArcelorMittal - Key Financial Data........................... . 51
Global Company Strategy - Rio Tinto .. 52
Company Overview 54
Company Strategy .. 55
Latest Financial Results .. 56
Table: Rio Tinto - Key Financial Data............................ . 57
Methodology .. 59
Cross Checks 59

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