China Agribusiness Industry Update Quarter 2 2012

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China's weight in the global agricultural sector is growing, with the country having an increasing role in
international production balances and prices. China will maintain a strong appetite for key commodities,
and we see particularly strong production growth potential for sugar, dairy and meat products. High demand
growth, strong government support and potential for investment and consolidation in these industries will
help them outperform in the coming years. However, the agribusiness sector is going through challenging
times, with the GDP slowing down, consumers' trust in food safety dwindling, food ingredients prices
rising, labour costs soaring and bank loan requirements for small sized enterprises tightening. This is best
seen in the mild pork production forecast for 2012/13, as producers reduce pig herd expansion on the back
of low profitability.
Livestock Losing To Grains
China - BMI Agribusiness Market Value By Commodity (% of total)
Note: The BMI Market Value is an addition of all domestically produced commodities' value (calculated by
multiplying the production with the international benchmark prices, converted in US$/tonne); e/f = BMI estimate/
forecast. Source: BMI.
Key Forecasts
• Soybean consumption growth to 2017: 43.8% to 102.1mn tonnes. Output expansion will be driven by
economic growth, which is leading to rising incomes and thus greater meat consumption. Growth will
also be driven by strong demand from the livestock sector (for soybean meal), and as soybean oil is the
most popular edible oil in the country.

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Related Market Segments :

Soybean
Corn
Soybean Oil
Oilseed
Corn Product

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