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India Retail Report Q2 2016

  • February 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 59 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The Indian retail market benefits from a number of factors that will increase opportunities forretailers in the medium and long term. The size of the population is one key attribute, creating a large poolof potential customers, while the key 20-39 year old demographic is also large, creating good opportunitiesfor retailers to establish brand loyalty among young urban dwellers who are keen for an aspirational retailexperience. The main urban centres already benefit from shopping malls and Western retail outlets, and themarket for luxury goods is significant.However, most Indians are still rural dwellers, and the agriculture sector is a major employer.

As agricultural incomes are typically low, and workers in the sector are affected by unstable weather patterns aswell as underemployment, this limits the participation a large majority of the population can have in themodern retail sector. Indeed, while incomes are rising, they will remain small, with low, with only 10% ofIndian households forecast to have a net income of USD10,000 or over by 2020. This means that retailspending will continue to be skewed in favour of essential purchases and non-organised retail, while ruraldwellers, and retailers seeking to access this market, are hampered by poor transport infrastructure, whichraises costs dramatically.

Table Of Contents

India Retail Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 10
Industry Forecast 13
Headline Retail Forecast 13
Table: Total Household Spending (India 2013-2020) 15
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (India 2013-2020) 16
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of GDP (India 2013-2020) 17
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (India 2013-2020) 18
Retail Sector Forecast 20
Food, Drink And Tobacco 21
Table: Food, Drink And Tobacco Spending (India 2013-2020) 22
Clothing And Footwear 22
Table: Clothing And Footwear Spending (India 2013-2020) 23
Household Goods 23
Table: Household Goods Spending (India 2013-2020) 24
Personal Care 24
Table: Personal Care Spending (India 2013-2020) 25
Household Numbers and Income Forecast 26
Table: Household Income Data (India 2013-2020) 27
Table: Labour Market Data (India 2013-2020) 29
Demographic Forecast 30
Table: Total Population (India 2013-2020) 31
Table: Population: Babies (India 2013-2020) 32
Table: Population: Young Children (India 2013-2020) 32
Table: Population: Children (India 2013-2020) 32
Table: Population: Young Teens And Older Children (India 2013-2020) 33
Table: Population: Young People (India 2013-2020) 33
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (India 2013-2020) 33
Table: Population: 21yrs + (India 2013-2020) 34
Table: Population: Young Adults (India 2013-2020) 34
Table: Population: Middle Aged (India 2013-2020) 34
Table: Population: Urban (India 2013-2020) 35
Industry Risk/Reward Index 36
Asia Risk/Reward Index 36
Table: Asia Pacific Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q216 36
India Industry Risk/Reward Index 37
Rewards 37
Risks 38
Market Overview 40
Competitive Landscape 42
Clothing And Footwear 42
Table: Clothing And Footwear 42
Household Goods Homeware And Home Improvement 43
Table: Household Goods, Homeware And Home Improvement 43
Electronics 43
Table: Electronics 43
Department Stores 44
Table: Department Stores 44
E-Commerce And Online Marketplaces 45
Table: E-Commerce And Online Marketplaces 45
Drugstores And Pharmacies 45
Table: Drugstores And Pharmacies 45
Glossary 46
Methodology 53
Industry Forecast Methodology 53
Sources 56
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 56
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators 57
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 59

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