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Japan Defence and Security Report 2016

  • November 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 57 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates


>BMI View:
Growth in Japan's defence expenditure is all but assured over coming years given heightening tensions in the East and South China Seas vis-à-vis China. Frosty relations with Beijing necessitate investment into the Japanese Self-Defense Forces if it is to pose a credible deterrence against China. Strengthening amphibious and undersea and air anti-access/area denial (A2/AD) capabilities will be critical to this. Japan's defence industry holds significant potential to contribute to the country's ailing economy, and has thus received renewed pledges of commitment from Prime Minister Shinzo Abe - though fiscal constraints will continue to limit sector investment to some extent. Latest Updates

- On August 31, Japan's Ministry of Defense (MoD) filed a request for a budget allocation of JPY5.17trn (USD49.87bn) for FY2017 beginning in April. We highlight that this is a record high and is an increase of 2.3% y-o-y.

- On August 9, national broadcaster NHK stated that the country was considering the adoption of US-based Lockheed Martin's Terminal High-Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) system.

- On August 5, the Kyodo news agency quoted Defence Minister Tomomi Inada as saying that the country will look to invest in and prepare the Self-Defense Forces (JSDF) for expanded missions overseas under the country's new security laws.

Table Of Contents

Japan Defence and Security Report 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Defence Expenditure (Japan 2015-2020) 7
SWOT 9
Defence Industry SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Defence Expenditure 11
Table: Defence Expenditure (Japan 2014-2019) 12
Table: Defence Expenditure (2020-2025) 12
Defence Trade 16
Industry Risk Reward Index 19
Defence Industry Risk Reward Index 19
Table: Asia Pacific - Defence Industry Risk Reward Index 19
Rewards 20
Risks 20
Market Overview 22
Defence Market Overview 22
Domestic Defence Sector 22
Domestic Defence Market 28
Table: Japan Defence Agreements 32
Armed Forces Overview 33
Armed Forces 33
Table: Armed Forces Personnel (Japan 2006-2014) 34
Table: Armed Forces Personnel (Japan 2015-2020) 35
Table: Japan Self-Defense Force - Overseas Deployments 38
Security Overview 39
Domestic Threats 39
Regional Threats 40
International Threats 45
Company Profile 46
Fuji Heavy Industries (FHI) 46
Ishikawajima-Harima Heavy Industries (IHI) 48
Kawasaki Heavy Industries (KHI) 49
Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (MHI) 51
Methodology 53
Industry Forecast Methodology 53
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 54
Sector-Specific Methodology 56
Table: Defence Risk/Reward Index Indicators 56
Weighting 57
Table: Weighting of Defence Risk Reward Index 57

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