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Brazil Mining Report Q1 2016

  • January 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 71 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Brazil's mining industry will be supported by solid production growth in the country's iron oresector over the next few years. Despite this, gold, nickel and tin production growth will slow due tocontinued price weakness.

Latest Developments & Structural Trends

- Iron ore will be Brazil's mining industry's growth bright spot due to the sector's low production costs, anda strong output growth strategy from Brazilian mining giant Vale. We expect Brazil's share of global ironore production to increase from 11.5% in 2016 to 13.6% in 2019, with the sector's output reaching459mnt in 2020 from 359mnt in 2016.

- While Brazil's iron ore production growth will not be significantly affected by the Samarco dam burst inNovember 2015, parent firms Vale and BHP Billiton will face significant fees of approximatelyUSD5.2bn. Further, the deadly incident will motivate legislators to increase environmental regulation inthe mining industry and heighten local opposition to the sector.

Table Of Contents

Brazil Mining Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Brazil Mining Industry Value Forecast (2014-2020) 7
Latest Developments and Structural Trends 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 10
Bauxite: Major Firms To Promote Growth 10
Table: Bauxite Production Growth (Brazil 2014-2020) 10
Risks To Outlook 12
Gold: Declining Prices To Weigh On Growth 14
Table: Gold Production Forecase (Brazil 2014-2020) 14
Structural Trends 14
Table: Select Greenfield Gold Projects 15
Iron Ore: Continued Growth Despite Samarco Disaster 16
Table: Iron Ore Forecast (Brazil 2014-2020) 16
Structural Trends 16
Nickel: Low Prices To Subdue Production Growth 20
Table: Nickel Production (Brazil 2014-2020) 20
Tin: Flat Growth To Continue 22
Table: Tin Production (Brazil 2014-2020) 22
Indonesian Ban To Boost Brazilian Market Share 24
Mining Risk/Reward Index 26
Brazil Risk/Reward Index 26
Rewards 26
Industry Rewards 26
Country Rewards 26
Risks 26
Industry Risks 26
Country Risks 27
Americas - Major Risks Across The Board 27
Regional Risks Increase Modestly 27
Weak Prices To Hurt, While Stronger Dollar A Net Gain 28
Table: Americas - Mining Risk/Reward Index 29
Regulatory Development 30
Recent Developments 30
Trade and Investment Risk Analysis 30
Commodities Forecast 34
Commodities Outlook 34
Table: BMI Commodities Price Forecasts 34
Competitive Landscape 35
Table: Brazil - Largest Mining Companies Financial Data 36
Company Profile 37
Anglo American - Q1 2016 37
Company Strategy 39
Latest Results 40
Table: Anglo American - Financial Data 41
Global Company Strategy - Alcoa - Q1 2016 42
Company Overview 44
Company Strategy 44
Latest Results 46
Table: Alcoa - Key Financial Data 47
Company Details 48
Vale - Q1 2016 49
Company Overview 51
Company Strategy 52
Latest Results 53
Table: Vale - Key Financial Data 54
Company Details 54
Regional Overview 55
Americas Mining: The Three Key Themes 55
Key Themes: 55
Regulatory Environment To Remain Mining Friendly 55
US Dollar Strength And Low Fuel Prices To Incentivise Output 56
Latin American Output To Eclipse The North 57
Global Industry Overview 59
Global Mining: The Five Key Themes 59
Table: Key Macroeconomic Context: Behind Key Mining Trends 60
1 Crisis And Consolidation For Producers And Traders 61
2 Capex To Focus Increasingly On Innovation 62
3 Bright Spots, Despite A Sea Of Troubles 63
Table: Select Countries - Mine Production Growth Bright Spots 64
4 Government Involvement To Increase In Key Sectors 64
Table: Select Countries - Government Involvement In Mining Sector 65
5 Africa To Remain Key Destination For Chinese and Indian Outbound Investment 66
Methodology 68
Industry Forecast Methodology 68
Sources 69
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 70
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 71

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Related Market Segments :

Iron Ore
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ref:plp2016

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