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Bangladesh Agribusiness Report Q2 2016

  • January 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 58 pages

BMI View: We hold a cautious outlook towards the Bangladesh agriculture sector over the short term. Thelimited amount of arable land available for acreage expansion, as well as poor safety standards, willconstrain growth over our forecast period. Structural problems still plague the industry, in particular thelogistical challenges of food transportation within the country. Over the long term, we believe there is muchmore room for growth and improvement in sub-sectors such as grains and livestock. That said, as theagricultural sector in Bangladesh employs close to 70% of the working population but contributes only 20%of the country's GDP, there is an obvious need for improvement in efficiency of operations. GM food policyis also an interesting area to look out, as Bangladesh is undoubtedly one of the most open countries to GMfood cultivation in Asia.

Key Forecasts

- Wheat production growth to 2019/20: 25.4% on the 2013/14 level to 1.6mn tonnes. The main driverbehind this growth will be an improvement in yields. Wheat cultivation remains a preferred option fornon-irrigated land given the low requirement for input use (fertiliser, insecticides and labour).
- Sugar production growth to 2019/20: 16.5% growth to 151,000 tonnes. Production will fail to returnto the levels reached in the early 2000s. With farmers increasingly planting more profitable cash crops,such as cotton, we do not foresee sugar production to pick up significantly any time soon.

Table Of Contents

Bangladesh Agribusiness Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 10
Agribusiness 10
Industry Forecast 12
Rice Outlook 12
Table: Bangladesh - Rice Production and Consumption Outlook 12
Table: Key Risks To Outlook 12
Table: Rice Production and Consumption (Bangladesh 2012-2020) 17
Grains Outlook 17
Table: Bangladesh - Grains Production and Consumption Outlook 17
Table: Key Risks To Outlook 18
Table: Grains Production and Consumption (Bangladesh 2012-2020) 21
Sugar Outlook 21
Table: Bangladesh - Sugar Production and Consumption Outlook 21
Table: Key Risks To Outlook 22
Table: Sugar Production and Consumption (Bangladesh 2012-2020) 25
Livestock Outlook 25
Table: Bangladesh - Livestock Production and Consumption Outlook 26
Table: Key Risks To Outlook 26
Table: Poultry Production and Consumption (Bangladesh 2012-2020) 29
Table: Beef Production and Consumption (Bangladesh 2012-2020) 29
Commodities Price Analysis 30
Global Commodities Strategy 30
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts 30
Upstream Analysis 32
Asia GM Outlook 32
Table: Selected Countries - GM Crops Use (mn hectares) 35
Asia Machinery Outlook 36
Table: Select Countries - Average Size Of Farms, Hectares 39
Asia Fertiliser Outlook 41
Regional Overview 46
Table: Impact Of El Niño On Crops 46
Competitive Landscape 51
Table: Bangladesh - Major Agribusiness Companies 51
Demographic Forecast 52
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Bangladesh 1990-2025) 53
Table: Key Population Ratios (Bangladesh 1990-2025) 53
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Bangladesh 1990-2025) 54
Table: Population By Age Group (Bangladesh 1990-2025) 54
Table: Population By Age Group % (Bangladesh 1990-2025) 55
Methodology 57
Industry Forecast Methodology 57
Sector-Specific Methodology 58

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