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Azerbaijan Petrochemicals Report Q2 2016

  • February 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 70 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

Slow economic growth in Azerbaijan, compounded by the devaluation of the manat, will limit demandgrowth for petrochemicals, which has largely been fulfilled by imports. While this may cause a downturn inthe sector in 2016, it will not affect the overall long-term prospects for the expansion of domesticproduction.Azerbaijan is currently burdened with ageing petrochemicals plants with low levels of capacity and poorproductivity. Local market performance is unlikely to provide much uplift, although the 50% depreciationof the manat will favour local production over imports. Nevertheless, high levels of imported inflation willsuppress demand growth and could outweigh the benefits of improved external competitiveness.

Table Of Contents

Azerbaijan Petrochemicals Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 10
Table: Azerbaijan Petrochemical Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2012-2020 13
Macroeconomic Forecasts 15
Economic Analysis 15
GDP By Expenditure Outlook 17
Table: Private Consumption Forecasts 17
Table: Government Consumption Forecasts 17
Table: Gross Fixed Capital Formation Forecasts 18
Table: Net Exports Forecasts 18
Industry Risk/Reward Index 19
Europe Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 19
Table: European Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index (scores out of 100) 22
Azerbaijan Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 23
Market Overview 24
Industry Trends And Developments 26
Upstream 28
Company Profile 31
State Oil Company Of Azerbaijan (SOCAR) 31
Regional Overview 35
Plant Turnarounds 39
Table: Europe Plant Turnarounds 39
Global Industry Overview 47
Global - Crude Oil, Refined Fuels And Natural Gas Prices 57
Table: Global Energy Price Forecasts (2014-2019) 57
Table: Global Energy Price Forecasts (2020-2025) 58
Demographic Forecast 60
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Azerbaijan 1990-2025) 61
Table: Key Population Ratios (Azerbaijan 1990-2025) 61
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Azerbaijan 1990-2025) 62
Table: Population By Age Group (Azerbaijan 1990-2025) 62
Table: Population By Age Group % (Azerbaijan 1990-2025) 63
Glossary 65
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms 65
Methodology 66
Industry Forecast Methodology 66
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 68
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators 69
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 70

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