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  4. > Iran Petrochemicals Report Q2 2016

Iran Petrochemicals Report Q2 2016

  • March 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 82 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

Iran is set to ramp up petrochemicals exports following the ending of international sanctions in January. Theeffects are likely to be global with a large amount of basic chemicals entering the market, leading todownward pressure on prices. However, the country still faces an uphill struggle with inward investmentdue to infrastructural and regulatory hurdles and will remain behind its Arabian Gulf competitors.The country's petrochemicals production capacity was around 60mn tonnes per annum (tpa) in 2015, but theshortage of natural gas as feedstock, ageing production units and the problem of sanctions, which reducedexports, have caused petrochemical complexes to work at lower capacities. Iran's petrochemical outputgrew 10% year-on-year to 44.4mn tonnes in FY2014/15, implying capacity utilisation of 74%. Iran alsoincreased petrochemical production by up to 2mn tonnes to about 46mn tonnes in 2015, but mostly byincreasing feedstock and not launching new petrochemical plants.

Table Of Contents

Iran Petrochemicals Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Political 11
Economic 13
Operational Risk 14
Industry Forecast 16
Table: Iran's Petrochemicals Industry, 2011-2020 ('000 tpa, Unless Otherwise Stated) 20
Macroeconomic Forecasts 22
Economic Analysis 22
Table: Iran - Key Economic Indicators 22
GDP By Expenditure 24
Table: Iran - Private Consumption Forecast 25
Table: Iran - Government Consumption Forecast 27
Table: Iran - Fixed Investment Forecast 27
Table: Iran - Net Exports Forecast 28
Industry Risk Reward Index 29
MEA Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 29
Table: MEA Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index - Q2 2016 34
Iran Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 35
Market Overview 36
Table: Iran's Cracker Capacity, 2013-2020 ('000 tpa) 38
Industry Trends And Developments 40
Post-Sanctions Outlook 40
Upstream Developments 41
Current Plans 43
Company Profile 47
National Petrochemical Company 47
Regional Overview 51
Middle East And Africa Overview 51
Global Industry Overview 59
Global - Crude Oil, Refined Fuels And Natural Gas Prices 69
Table: Global Energy Price Forecasts (2014-2019) 69
Table: Global Energy Price Forecasts (2020-2025) 70
Demographic Forecast 72
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Iran 1990-2025) 73
Table: Key Population Ratios (Iran 1990-2025) 73
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Iran 1990-2025) 74
Table: Population By Age Group (Iran 1990-2025) 74
Table: Population By Age Group % (Iran 1990-2025) 75
Glossary 77
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms 77
Methodology 78
Industry Forecast Methodology 78
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 80
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators 81
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 82

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