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Turkey Petrochemicals Report Q2 2016

  • February 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 85 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

Turkish petrochemicals production growth has slowed over the past year and the country's industry entered2016 with further downward pressure on prices in an increasingly challenging market. Greater politicalcertainty has not provided sufficient basis for stronger growth in the immediate future, but the countrycontinues to invest in refinery and petrochemicals capacities in a drive to become self-sufficient.BMI estimates that Turkey's overall chemicals growth in 2015 was 3.2%, while rubber and plastic grew1.2%. This marked a significant downturn from the 4.6% chemicals growth and 3.0% rubber and plasticgrowth reported in 2014 and is in line with the country's overall industrial slowdown. Turkishpetrochemicals producer Petkim's output totalled 4.84mn tonnes, down 1.6% y-o-y, which was in spite ofcapacity expansion, due primarily to polyethylene market weaknesses.

Table Of Contents

Turkey Petrochemicals Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Political 9
Economic 11
Operational Risk 12
Industry Forecast 14
Table: Turkey - Petrochemicals Capacity Historical Data And Forecasts, 2012-2020 ('000tpa) 18
Macroeconomic Forecasts 19
Economic Analysis 19
Table: GDP Growth Forecasts (Turkey 2013-2024) 27
Table: Private Consumption Forecasts (Turkey 2013-2024) 27
Table: Government Consumption Forecasts (Turkey 2013-2024) 28
Table: Fixed Investment Forecasts (Turkey 2013-2024) 29
Table: Net Exports Forecasts (Turkey 2013-2024) 29
Industry Risk/Reward Index 30
Europe Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 30
Table: European Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index (scores out of 100) 33
Turkey Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 34
Market Overview 36
Industry Trends And Developments 39
Company Profile 44
Petkim 44
Table: Petkim's Financial Results (TRYmn), 2011-2014 46
Turkish Petroleum Refineries Corporation 47
Table: Tüpras' Financial Results, 2011-2014 48
Regional Overview 50
Table: Europe Plant Turnarounds 54
Global Industry Overview 62
Global - Crude Oil, Refined Fuels And Natural Gas Prices 72
Table: Global Energy Price Forecasts (2014-2019) 72
Table: Global Energy Price Forecasts (2020-2025) 73
Demographic Forecast 75
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Turkey 1990-2025) 76
Table: Key Population Ratios (Turkey 1990-2025) 76
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Turkey 1990-2025) 77
Table: Population By Age Group (Turkey 1990-2025) 77
Table: Population By Age Group % (Turkey 1990-2025) 78
Glossary 80
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms 80
Methodology 81
Industry Forecast Methodology 81
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 83
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators 84
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 85

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