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Poland Retail Report Q2 2016

  • March 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 65 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Preliminary real GDP estimates for 2015 indicate that the Polish economy beat expectations,growing by 3.6% against consensus expectations for growth of 3.5%. This continued strong economicperformance will support growth in employment opportunities and household incomes, directly benefitingthe retail sector. We believe that amendments to the 2016 budget will prove to be growth positive in theshort-run and the government's policies to increase social transfers to households via child benefits willalso support increases in household consumption.

Key Views & Developments

- We expect total household spending to amount toUSD272bn in 2016, down by 1.5%, mostly due toappreciated US dollar. In Polish zloty terms, we expect a rise of 4.4% this year.

- Essential spending will continue to account for the majority of household spending, with the largestsector represented by housing and utilities at 24.3% in 2016.

- The number of households falling into the key USD10,000+ wage bracket is expected to reach 7.9mn in2016, representing 57.4% of all households.

Table Of Contents

Poland Retail Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Headline Retail Forecast 11
Table: Total Household Spending (Poland 2013-2020) 13
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Poland 2013-2020) 15
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (Poland 2013-2020) 16
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Poland 2013-2020) 18
Retail Sector Forecast 20
Table: Food, Drink and Tobacco Spending (Poland 2013-2020) 23
Table: Clothing and Footwear Spending (Poland 2013-2020) 24
Table: Household Goods Spending (Poland 2013-2020) 24
Table: Personal Care Spending (Poland 2013-2020) 26
Household Numbers And Income Forecast 27
Table: Household Income Data (Poland 2013-2020) 28
Table: Labour Market Data (Poland 2013-2020) 32
Demographic Forecast 32
Table: Total Population (Poland 2013-2020) 34
Table: Population: Babies (Poland 2013-2020) 34
Table: Population: Young Children (Poland 2013-2020) 35
Table: Population: Children (Poland 2013-2020) 35
Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (Poland 2013-2020) 35
Table: Population: Young People (Poland 2013-2020) 36
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Poland 2013-2020) 36
Table: Population: 21yrs + (Poland 2013-2020) 36
Table: Population: Young Adults (Poland 2013-2020) 37
Table: Population: Middle Aged (Poland 2013-2020) 37
Table: Population: Urban (Poland 2013-2020) 37
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 38
Central And Eastern Europe Risk/Reward Index 38
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q216 38
Poland Risk/Reward Index 39
Rewards 39
Risks 40
Market Overview 42
Competitive Landscape 48
Clothing and Footwear 48
Table: Selected Clothing and Footwear Retailers 48
Household Goods 49
Table: Selected Household Goods/Homeware/Home Improvement Retailers 49
Electronics 49
Table: Selected Electronics Retailers 49
Department Stores 50
Table: Selected Department Stores 50
E-commerce 50
Table: Selected E-commerce/Online Marketplaces 50
Pharmacies 51
Table: Selected Drug Stores/Pharmacies 51
Glossary 52
Methodology 59
Industry Forecast Methodology 59
Sources 62
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 62
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators 63
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 65

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