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  4. > Venezuela Telecommunications Report Q2 2016

Venezuela Telecommunications Report Q2 2016

  • February 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 52 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates


BMI View:
The election of a more pro-business government offers hope that Venezuela's stagnant telecoms market can be reinvigorated through the application of external investment. However, the judiciary and civil service are largely manned by socialist sympathisers, and we expect efforts to privatise incumbent CANTV will be resisted. Additionally, economic reforms will be slow to be applied and slower still to bring any tangible benefits, meaning that disposable incomes will remain low.


Latest Updates & Industry Developments
- The mobile market shrank markedly in 2015 owing to the disconnection of inactive accounts and falling incomes. 3G/4G uptake proved more vibrant than expected due to state subsidies and enforced low tariffs. We forecast 29.4mn mobile subscriptions by 2020, of which 14.8mn will be 3G/4G.
- The 'broadband' market has been shrinking as consumers discard dedicated mobile broadband access in favour of smartphone-delivered voice-and-data services. The ageing last-mile access network of CANTV cannot support wireline broadband expansion unless significant investment is obtained. We forecast 3.5mn broadband subscriptions by 2020, versus 3.4mn at the end of 2015.

Table Of Contents

Venezuela Telecommunications Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View ... 7
SWOT 8
Industry SWOT .. 8
Industry Forecast .. 10
Latest Updates ... 10
Structural Trends ... 10
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Venezuela 2013-2020) . . 13
Industry Risk/Reward Index . 14
Latin America Telecoms Risk Reward Index .. 14
Table: Latin Americas Telecoms Risk/Rewards Index - Q216 16
Industry Risk/Rewards Index .. 18
Market Overview ... 19
Market Drivers and Trends . 19
Mobile . 19
Wireline Voice and Broadband 24
Table: Venezuela: Quarterly Broadband Subscribers (000) And Internet Revenues, 2013-2015 26
Pay-TV/Convergence .. 26
Table: Venezuela: Quarterly Pay-TV Subscriptions (000) And Revenues 27
Regulatory Development .. 29
Regulatory Overview 29
Table: Venezuela Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities . . 29
Regulatory Developments 30
Competitive Landscape 32
Table: Key Players - Venezuelan Telecoms Sector . . 32
Mobile Operator Data 33
Table: Venezuela Mobile Market 2013-2015 . . 33
Table: Movilnet . . 33
Table: Telefonica Movistar . . 34
Table: Digitel . 34
Company Profile 35
Telefónica Móviles Venezuela 35
Corporación Digitel . 38
Demographic Forecast . 41
Demographic Outlook 2015 ... 41
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Venezuela 1990-2025) 42
Table: Key Population Ratios (Venezuela 1990-2025) . 42
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Venezuela 1990-2025) . . 43
Table: Population By Age Group (Venezuela 1990-2025) 43
Table: Population By Age Group % (Venezuela 1990-2025) 44
Glossary . 46
Table: Glossary Of Terms 46
Methodology .. 48
Industry Forecast Methodology 48
Sources 50
Risk/Reward Index Methodology ... 50
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators . 51
Table: Weighting Of Indicators . 52

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