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Egypt Agribusiness Report Q2 2016

  • March 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 81 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: We hold a generally positive outlook on the Egyptian agricultural market. Nevertheless, ourforecasts suggest that Egypt will face growing production deficits in grains and meat as it focuses onexport-oriented cash crops, while the dairy sector will benefit from sustained private investment. Out to2020, an expanding population and rising disposable incomes will support consumption growth in sugarand dairy products. Moreover, rice and beef consumption will benefit from the greater range of productsavailable under the new food subsidy scheme.

Key Forecasts

- Wheat production growth to 2020: 2.4% to 8.50mn tonnes. Wheat production will be constrained by agreater amount of arable land being devoted to export-oriented crops.

- Rice consumption growth to 2020: 11.2% to 4.45mn tonnes. This will come from lower breadconsumption induced by the new food subsidy scheme.

- Sugar consumption growth to 2020: 12.2% to 3.28mn tonnes. An expanding population and risingdisposable incomes will stimulate demand for soft drinks and confectionary goods.

Table Of Contents

Egypt Agribusiness Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Agribusiness 9
Industry Forecast 12
Grains Outlook 12
Table: Egypt - Grains Production and Consumption Outlook 12
Table: Risks To Outlook 13
Table: Wheat Production and Consumption (Egypt 2012-2020) 17
Table: Corn Production and Consumption (Egypt 2012-2020) 17
Rice Outlook 18
Table: Egypt - Rice Production and Consumption Outlook 18
Table: Risks To Outlook 19
Table: Rice Production and Consumption (Egypt 2012-2020) 22
Livestock Outlook 23
Table: Egypt - Livestock Production and Consumption Outlook 23
Table: Risks To Outlook 24
Table: Poultry Production and Consumption (Egypt 2012-2020) 27
Table: Beef Production and Consumption (Egypt 2012-2020) 28
Dairy Outlook 29
Table: Egypt - Dairy Production and Consumption Outlook 29
Table: Risks To Outlook 29
Table: Milk Production and Consumption (Egypt 2012-2020) 32
Table: Butter Production and Consumption (Egypt 2012-2020) 32
Table: Cheese Production and Consumption (Egypt 2012-2020) 32
Sugar Outlook 33
Table: Egypt - Sugar Production and Consumption Outlook 33
Table: Risks To Outlook 33
Table: Sugar Production and Consumption (Egypt 2012-2020) 36
Commodities Price Analysis 37
Global Commodities Strategy 37
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts 37
Upstream Analysis 39
Africa Machinery Outlook 39
Table: How Africa Compares With Other Regions 39
Table: Farm Size By Region (2012) 44
Africa GM Outlook 45
Table: Farm Size By Region 49
Africa Fertiliser Outlook 51
Downstream Analysis 58
Food 58
Latest Updates 58
Structural Trends 58
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data and Forecasts (Egypt 2012-2019) 59
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Egypt 2014-2019) 60
Table: Pasta Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Egypt 2014-2019) 61
Table: Fish Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Egypt 2012-2019) 62
Table: Meat Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Egypt 2012-2019) 63
Table: Frozen Fruit and Vegetables Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Egypt 2014-2019) 64
Table: Oils and Fats Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Egypt 2012-2019) 65
Table: Snack Foods Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Egypt 2012-2019) 67
Regional Overview 68
Middle East and Africa Regional Overview 68
Competitive Landscape 74
Table: Main Agribusiness Players 74
Demographic Forecast 75
Demographic Outlook 75
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Egypt 1990-2025) 76
Table: Key Population Ratios (Egypt 1990-2025) 76
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Egypt 1990-2025) 77
Table: Population By Age Group (Egypt 1990-2025) 77
Table: Population By Age Group % (Egypt 1990-2025) 78
Methodology 80
Industry Forecast Methodology 80
Sector-Specific Methodology 81

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