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South Korea Infrastructure Report Q2 2016

  • March 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 86 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: We have downgraded our growth forecast for South Korea's construction sector on the back ofnew mortgage rules from early 2016, which will dampen the residential construction market from 2016onwards. With a struggling non-residential building sector, it is the infrastructure sector, and notably theenergy and utilities sub-sector, which will boost South Korea's overall construction industry growth intoweak but positive territory.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

- We expect a slight expansion in South Korea's construction sector of 1.41% in real terms for 2016, downfrom 1.98% over 2015. For 2017, we maintain our growth forecast of 1.32%. Overall constructionindustry growth in South Korea will remain in positive territory over our forecast period to 2025, despitebeing in the low 1-1.5% real growth bracket.

- With negative growth rates in the non-residential building sector and weak long-term growth in theresidential building sector, overall building industry real growth will remain in negative territory over ourforecast period 2016-2025.

- We downgraded residential building real growth rates this quarter on the back of new amortised loanrules and tougher lending rules to take effect in 2016. In addition, the lack of significant income increase,an ageing population and an increasing oversupply of new homes provide a weak long-term picture forthe residential building sector.

Table Of Contents

South Korea Infrastructure Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Latest Updates And Structural Trends 7
Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (South Korea 2015-2021) 8
Table: Infrastructure Risk Reward Index (South Korea) 8
SWOT 9
Infrastructure SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario 11
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (South Korea 2015-2025) 11
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 16
Latest Updates 16
Table: Transport Infrastructure Industry Data (South Korea 2015-2025) 16
Structural Trends 17
Roads 18
Railway 18
Airports 21
Ports 23
Table: Key Projects: Transport 24
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 25
Latest Updates 25
Table: Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Data (South Korea 2015-2025) 25
Thermal Sources Maintain Dominance 28
Renewables Outlook Clouded By Cheaper Alternatives 32
Transmission 33
Table: Key Projects: Energy and Utilities 34
Residential/Non-Residential Building - Outlook And Overview 35
Latest Updates 35
Table: Residential and Non-Residential Building Industry Data (South Korea 2015-2025) 35
Table: Key Projects: Construction And Social Infrastructure 42
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 43
South Korea - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 43
Rewards 43
Risks 44
APAC Infrastructure RRI: Affirming A Benign 2016 Outlook 45
Table: Asia Risk/Reward Index 52
Market Overview 53
Competitive Landscape 53
Table: EQS Data 53
Company Profile 56
Hyundai Engineering and Construction 56
Doosan Heavy Industries and Construction 63
GS Engineering and Construction 68
Samsung CandT 74
Methodology 79
Industry Forecast Methodology 79
Sector-Specific Methodology 80
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 84
Sector-Specific Methodology 85
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 85
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 86

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