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Thailand Oil and Gas Report Q2 2016

  • March 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 99 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Above ground risks continue to weigh on the outlook for investment in the exploration andproduction necessary to reverse the current trend of declining reserves and production of both oil and gas.Despite untapped offshore potential, Thailand's dependence on imports is expected to grow as consumption,particularly of natural gas, accelerates and domestic output stagnates.

Latest Updates And Key Forecasts

- The 21st licensing round is now expected to kick off in mid-2016, having being delayed repeatedly since2008. Political and regulatory uncertainty will hinder upstream investments into Thailand which wantsshore up its declining oil and gas reserves. The licensing round will offer 23 onshore and six offshoreblocks to tap an estimated volume of 28.3bn to 151.6bcm of natural gas and 20-50mn barrels of crude oil.

- We forecast Thailand's crude oil production to peak at 479,100b/d in 2016 as peak production at theNong Yao and Wassana oilfields adds to the country's production. Although we expect domestic crudeproduction to be on a downtrend and net crude oil imports to be on an uptrend thereafter, explorationcould pick up when the oil price recovers, and together with the 21st licensing round, pose upside risks toour forecast of the country's domestic crude output.

Table Of Contents

Thailand Oil and Gas Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (Thailand 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 8
Oil and Gas SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 9
Upstream Exploration 9
Latest Updates 9
Structural Trends 9
Table: Proven Oil and Gas Reserves (Thailand 2014-2019) 11
Table: Proven Oil and Gas Reserves (Thailand 2020-2025) 12
Upstream Projects 12
Table: Thailand Major Upstream Projects 12
Upstream Production - Oil 13
Latest Updates 13
Structural Trends 14
Table: Oil Production (Thailand 2014-2019) 17
Table: Oil Production (Thailand 2020-2025) 17
Upstream Production - Gas 18
Latest Updates 18
Structural Trends 18
Table: Gas Production (Thailand 2014-2019) 21
Table: Gas Production (Thailand 2020-2025) 21
Refining 22
Latest Updates 22
Structural Trends 22
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Thailand 2014-2019) 24
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Thailand 2020-2025) 24
Refined Fuels Consumption 25
Latest Updates 25
Structural Trends 25
Table: Refined Products Consumption (Thailand 2014-2019) 26
Table: Refined Products Consumption (Thailand 2020-2025) 27
Gas Consumption 27
Latest Updates 27
Structural Trends 27
Table: Gas Consumption (Thailand 2014-2019) 30
Table: Gas Consumption (Thailand 2020-2025) 30
Trade - Oil 31
Crude Oil Trade Forecast 31
Latest Updates 31
Structural Trends 31
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Thailand 2014-2019) 33
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Thailand 2020-2025) 33
Refined Fuels Trade Forecast 33
Latest Update 33
Structural Trends 33
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Thailand 2014-2019) 34
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Thailand 2020-2025) 35
Trade - Gas (Pipeline And LNG) 35
Latest Updates 35
Structural Trends 35
Table: Gas Net Exports (Thailand 2014-2019) 37
Table: Gas Net Exports (Thailand 2020-2025) 37
Industry Risk Reward Index 38
Asia - Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 38
Upstream Risk/Reward Index: Persistent Oil Price Weakness Underpins Bearish Outlook 39
Table: Asia: Upstream Risk/Reward Index 39
Downstream Risk/Reward Index: Projection For Weaker Economic Growth Undermines India's Scores 42
Table: Asia: Downstream Risk/Reward Index 42
Thailand - Risk/Reward Index 44
Market Overview 46
Thailand Energy Market Overview 46
Regulatory Structure 46
Fiscal Regime 47
Table: Thailand - Upstream Tax Regime 47
Table: Thailand - Contracts and Licensing Regime 47
Exclusive Economic Zone 47
Licensing Rounds 48
Oil And Gas Infrastructure 49
Table: Oil Refineries In Thailand 49
Oil Terminals/Ports 50
LNG Terminals 50
Table: Thailand - Existing and Planned LNG Terminals 50
Gas Storage Terminal 51
Table: Thailand - Gas Pipelines 51
Table: Thailand - Crude Oil Pipeline 51
Competitive Landscape 52
Competitive Landscape Summary 52
Table: Key Players In Thailand's Oil and Gas Sector 53
Company Profile 54
Chevron 54
ExxonMobil (Thailand) 58
Ophir Energy 61
PTT 65
PTTEP 72
Thai Shell Co 76
Other Summaries 78
Regional Overview 84
Industry Trend Analysis 84
Glossary 92
Table: Glossary Of Terms 92
Methodology 94
Industry Forecast Methodology 94
Source 96
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 96
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 98
Table: Weighting 99

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