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Vietnam Oil and Gas Report Q2 2016

  • April 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 99 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Vietnam's self-sufficiency in crude oil and natural gas is poised to come to an end in 2018 and2017, respectively, on account of declining production and rising demand. Large refining capacityadditions over the next five years is set to exacerbate the country's reliance on crude imports, though thiswill help to reduce Vietnam's need for refined fuels imports in the short-to-medium term. The expected startupof several LNG import terminals will pave the way for Vietnam to begin first LNG imports, though anydelays or cancellations to these projects pose significant downside risk to our forecasts.

Latest Updates And Key Forecasts

- Vietnam is set to become a net importer of crude oil and natural gas from 2018 and 2017, respectively,due to falling production and rising domestic energy requirements.

- The coming online of two proposed LNG projects, the Thi Vai and Son My terminals (slated for 2017and 2018, respectively), remains critical to our forecasts. As such, delays or cancellations to theseprojects could pose downside risk to our forecasts and increase the risk of a gas shortage.

Table Of Contents

Vietnam Oil and Gas Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (Vietnam 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 9
Upstream Exploration 9
Latest Updates 9
Structural Trends 9
Table: Proven Oil and Gas Reserves (Vietnam 2014-2019) 11
Table: Proven Oil and Gas Reserves (Vietnam 2020-2025) 11
Upstream Projects 12
Table: Vietnam - Key Upstream Projects 12
Upstream Production - Oil 17
Latest Updates 17
Structural Trends 17
Table: Oil Production (Vietnam 2014-2019) 19
Table: Oil Production (Vietnam 2020-2025) 19
Upstream Production - Gas 20
Latest Updates 20
Structural Trends 20
Table: Gas Production (Vietnam 2014-2019) 22
Table: Gas Production (Vietnam 2020-2025) 22
Refining 23
Latest Updates 23
Structural Trends 23
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Vietnam 2014-2019) 25
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Vietnam 2020-2025) 25
Refined Fuels Consumption 26
Latest Updates 26
Structural Trends 26
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Vietnam 2014-2019) 28
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Vietnam 2020-2025) 28
Gas Consumption 29
Latest Updates 29
Structural Trends 29
Table: Gas Consumption (Vietnam 2014-2019) 31
Table: Gas Consumption (Vietnam 2020-2025) 31
Trade - Oil 32
Crude Oil Trade Forecasts 32
Latest Updates 32
Structural Trends 32
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Vietnam 2014-2019) 34
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Vietnam 2020-2025) 34
Fuels Trade Forecasts 34
Latest Updates 34
Structural Trends 34
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Vietnam 2014-2019) 36
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Vietnam 2020-2025) 36
Trade - Gas (Pipeline And LNG) 37
Latest Updates 37
Structural Trends 37
Table: Gas Net Exports (Vietnam 2014-2019) 39
Table: Gas Net Exports (Vietnam 2020-2025) 39
Industry Risk Reward Index 40
Asia - Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 40
Upstream Risk/Reward Index: Persistent Oil Price Weakness Underpins Bearish Outlook 41
Table: Asia: Upstream Risk/Reward Index 41
Downstream Risk/Reward Index: Projection For Weaker Economic Growth Undermines India's Scores 44
Table: Asia: Downstream Risk/Reward Index 44
Vietnam - Risk/Reward Index 46
Vietnam Upstream Index - Rewards 46
Vietnam Upstream Index - Risks 46
Downstream Scores 47
Market Overview 48
Vietnam Energy Market Overview 48
Oil and Gas Infrastructure 51
Oil Refineries 51
Table: Refineries In Vietnam 51
Oil Storage Facilities 51
LNG Import Terminal 52
Gas Pipelines 52
Table: Major Gas Pipelines In Vietnam 52
Competitive Landscape 54
Competitive Landscape Summary 54
Table: Key Players - Vietnam Oil And Gas Sector 56
Table: Key Upstream Players 56
Table: Key Downstream Players 56
Company Profile 57
Petronas Vietnam 57
PetroVietnam 60
Rosneft Vietnam 68
Zarubezhneft/Vietsovpetro 71
Other Summaries 74
Regional Overview 84
Industry Trend Analysis 84
Glossary 92
Table: Glossary Of Terms 92
Methodology 94
Industry Forecast Methodology 94
Source 96
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 96
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 98
Table: Weighting 99

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