Serbia Food and Drink Industry Update Quarter 2 2012

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$ 1 088 - March 2013 - by Business Monitor International - 117

Summary

Table of Contents

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Data Series

Industry

Beverage

Country

Serbia and Montenegro

Keywords

Drink

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

After a difficult 2012, we expect Serbia to enjoy a modest recovery over the coming year, forecasting real
GDP growth to accelerate from -1.9% in 2012 to 1.9% in 2013. This will be partly due to base effects after
several bouts of extreme weather hit agricultural and industrial output, but also a result of increased
exports and remittance inflows. Despite this improvement, Serbian households are set for another difficult
year in 2013 owing to fiscal austerity and high unemployment.

Headline Industry Data (local currency)

- 2013 per capita food consumption: +3.2%; five-year forecast to 2017: +16.3%.
- 2013 alcoholic drinks value sales: +3.0%; five-year forecast to 2017: +15.0%.
- 2013 soft drinks value sales: +11.5%; five-year forecast to 2017: +76.2%.
- 2013 mass grocery retail sales: +7.5%; five-year forecast to 2017: +37.4%.

BMI Industry View . 7
SWOT . 9
Food 9
Drink . 11
Mass Grocery Retail . 13
Industry Forecast 15
Consumer Outlook 15
Food 16
Food Consumption 16
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017 . . . . . 17
Confectionery . 17
Table: Confectionery Value Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017 . 18
Canned Food . 18
Table: Canned Foods Volume/Value Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017 . . . . . . . 20
Snack Foods . 20
Table: Snack Foods Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017 . 20
Meat . 22
Table: Meat Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017 . 23
Dairy 24
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017 24
Drink . 26
Alcoholic Drinks . 26
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017 . . . . . . 27
Soft Drinks . 27
Table: Soft Drinks Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017 . . . 28
Hot Drinks . 29
Table: Hot Drinks Value Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017 . . . . 31
Mass Grocery Retail . 31
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017 . . . . 32
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales Breakdown By Retail Format (% of total) . 33
Trade . 34
Table: Food & Drink Trade Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017 . . . 34
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 35
Central And Eastern Europe Risk/Reward Ratings . 35
Table: Central & Eastern Europe Food & Drink Risk/Reward Ratings Q213 . 36
Table: Central & Eastern Europe Food and Drink Risk/Reward Ratings Sub-components Q213 (out of 10) . 39
Serbia Risk/Reward Ratings . 39
Macroeconomic Forecast 41
Table: Serbia - Economic Activity . . . . . . 45
Market Overview . 46
Food 46
Food Consumption 46
Food Production . 46
Leading Players 46
Confectionery . 47
Canned Food . 48
Trade 48
Agriculture 49
Dairy Production 50
Sugar Production 50
Organic Agriculture . 51
Drink . 51
Beer . 51
Spirits . 53
Wine . 53
Soft Drinks . 54
Hot Drinks . 55
Mass Grocery Retail . 56
Industry Trends And Developments 59
Food 59
Drink . 63
Mass Grocery Retail . 65
Competitive Landscape 69
Table: Key Players In Serbia's Food & Drink Sector . . 69
Table: Key Players In Serbia's Mass Grocery Retail Sector . . . 70
Company Profile 72
Bambi 72
Mondi Serbia . 74
Mladost-Sid . 75
Sunoko . 76
Coca-Cola/IBP Beograd . 78
Beogradska Industrija Piva . 80
Carlsberg Serbia 82
Apatinska Pivara 84
Arteska International . 86
BB Minaqua 88
Knjaz Miloš . 90
Mercator . 92
Veropoulos 95
Delhaize/Delta Holding 97
Metro . 100
Global Industry Overview 102
Table: Core Views . . . . . 108
Demographic Forecast . 109
Demographic Outlook 109
Table: Serbia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) . 110
Table: Serbia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) . . . 110
Table: Serbia's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 . . . 111
Table: Serbia's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 . . . . 112
Glossary . 113
Food & Drink . 113
Mass Grocery Retail . 113
Methodology 115
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology 115
Table: Rewards 116
Table: Risks . . . . 116
Table: Weighting . . . . . . . 117

Beverage in Serbia and Montenegro

Serbia Alcoholic Drinks Sales, Us$mn

$ 250
Industry data
February 2013

Yearly, From 2005 To 2016
By Business Monitor International
Source: Company Information, Trade press, BMI/BMI calculation

Industries : Beverage
Countries : Serbia and Montenegro

Serbia Food And Drink Trade Balance Us$mn

$ 250
Industry data
January 2013

Yearly, From 2002 To 2017
By Business Monitor International
Source: Federal Bureau of Statistics Serbia, BMI/BMI calculation

Industries : Beverage
Countries : Serbia and Montenegro

Serbia Alcoholic Drinks Sales (mn Litres)

$ 250
Industry data
January 2013

Yearly, From 2005 To 2017
By Business Monitor International
Source: Company Information, Trade press, BMI

Industries : Beverage
Countries : Serbia and Montenegro

Serbia Alcoholic Drink Sales, Litres, % Chg Y-o-y

$ 250
Industry data
January 2013

Yearly, From 2006 To 2017
By Business Monitor International
Source: Company Information, Trade press, BMI/BMI calculation

Industries : Beverage
Countries : Serbia and Montenegro

Serbia Alcoholic Drinks Sales, Us$ % Change Y-o-y

$ 250
Industry data
January 2013

Yearly, From 2006 To 2017
By Business Monitor International
Source: Company Information, Trade press, BMI/BMI calculation

Industries : Beverage
Countries : Serbia and Montenegro

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