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Romania Retail Report Q2 2016

  • February 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 59 pages

BMI View: Despite being one of the poorest countries in the EU, Romania possesses one of the mostpromising income growth outlooks. As a result, we are anticipating robust growth in household spendingthroughout our forecast period and this will equate to considerable gains for retailers, particularly those inthe MGR sector. While the country's population is on the decline, the market remains large and lesssaturated when compared other countries in the region.

Key Views And Developments

- We are forecasting household consumption to continue to improve, thanks to a healthier labour marketand higher wages. This will be further supported by negative inflation (the latest figure came in at -0.7%for 2015), which will help boost real purchasing power.

Table Of Contents

Romania Retail Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Retail SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Headline Retail Forecast 11
Table: Total Household Spending (Romania 2013-2020) 12
Table: Total Household Spending (Romania 2013-2020) 13
Table: Total Household Spending (Romania 2013-2020) 14
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Romania 2013-2020) 15
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (Romania 2013-2020) 15
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Romania 2013-2020) 16
Retail Sector Forecast 17
Food and Drinks 19
Table: Food, Drink and Tobacco Spending (Romania 2013-2020) 20
Clothing and Footwear 20
Table: Clothing and Footwear Spending (Romania 2013-2020) 21
Household Goods 21
Table: Household Goods Spending (Romania 2013-2020) 22
Personal Care 23
Table: Personal Care Spending (Romania 2013-2020) 23
Household Numbers and Income Forecast 24
Table: Household Income Data (Romania 2013-2020) 26
Table: Labour Market Data (Romania 2013-2020) 28
Demographic Forecast 29
Table: Total Population (Romania 2013-2020) 31
Table: Population: Babies (Romania 2013-2020) 31
Table: Population: Young Children (Romania 2013-2020) 32
Table: Population: Children (Romania 2013-2020) 32
Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (Romania 2013-2020) 32
Table: Population: Young People (Romania 2013-2020) 33
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Romania 2013-2020) 33
Table: Population: 21yrs + (Romania 2013-2020) 33
Table: Population: Young Adults (Romania 2013-2020) 34
Table: Population: Middle Aged (Romania 2013-2020) 34
Table: Population: Urban (Romania 2013-2020) 34
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 35
Central And Eastern Europe Risk/Reward Index 35
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q216 35
Romania Risk/Reward Index 36
Rewards 36
Risks 37
Market Overview 39
Competitive Landscape 42
Department Stores 42
Table: Major Department Store Retailers 42
Clothing and footwear 42
Table: Major Clothing and Footwear Retailers 42
Household Goods 43
Table: Major Household Goods Retailers 43
Electronics 43
Table: Major Electronics Retailers 43
E-commerce 44
Table: Major e-commerce Retailers 44
Pharmacies 45
Table: Major Pharmacies Retailers 45
Glossary 46
Methodology 53
Industry Forecast Methodology 53
Sources 56
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 56
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators 57
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 59

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