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Russia Retail Report Q2 2016

  • February 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 59 pages

BMI View: The Russian economy shrunk by a sharp 3.7% during 2015, in part due to continued low oilprices and the hit from Western sanctions. Together with high levels of inflation, which reached 12.9% lastyear, we expect the retail sector to struggle. Russia has already seen its investment levels stall while the riskprofile has deteriorated and we believe this will act to suppress growth throughout all the retail sectorsuntil at least 2017 .

Key Views & Developments

- We expect household consumption to begin to improve following a sharp decline between 2013-2015.Growth will be slow, however, owing to a weakened economy and high levels of inflation. We do notexpect USD household spending to return to the levels achieved during 2013.

Table Of Contents

Russia Retail Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Headline Retail Forecast 11
Table: Total Household Spending (Russia 2013-2020) 13
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Russia 2013-2020) 14
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (Russia 2013-2020) 15
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Russia 2013-2020) 16
Retail Sector Forecast 18
Food, Drinks And Tobacco 19
Table: Food, Drink and Tobacco Spending (Russia 2013-2020) 20
Clothing And Footwear 20
Table: Clothing and Footwear Spending (Russia 2013-2020) 21
Household Goods 21
Table: Household Goods Spending (Russia 2013-2020) 22
Personal Care And Effects 23
Table: Personal Care Spending (Russia 2013-2020) 23
Household Numbers and Income Forecast 24
Table: Household Income Data (Russia 2013-2020) 26
Table: Labour Market Data (Russia 2013-2020) 28
Demographic Forecast 29
Table: Total Population (Russia 2013-2020) 31
Table: Population: Babies (Russia 2013-2020) 31
Table: Population: Young Children (Russia 2013-2020) 32
Table: Population: Children (Russia 2013-2020) 32
Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (Russia 2013-2020) 32
Table: Population: Young People (Russia 2013-2020) 33
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Russia 2013-2020) 33
Table: Population: 21yrs + (Russia 2013-2020) 34
Table: Population: Young Adults (Russia 2013-2020) 34
Table: Population: Middle Aged (Russia 2013-2020) 35
Table: Population: Urban (Russia 2013-2020) 35
Industry Risk Reward Index 36
Central And Eastern Europe Risk/Reward Index 36
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q216 36
Russia - Risk/Reward Index 37
Rewards 37
Risks 38
Market Overview 40
Competitive Landscape 43
Clothing and Footwear 43
Table: Table: Major clothing and footwear retailers 43
Household Goods 44
Table: Household Goods Retailers 44
Electronics 44
Table: Major Electronics Retailers 44
Department Stores 44
Table: Major Department Stores 44
Ecommerce 45
Table: Major E-commerce Companies 45
Pharmacies And Personal Care 45
Table: Major Pharmacies retailers 45
Glossary 46
Methodology 53
Industry Forecast Methodology 53
Sources 56
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 56
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators 57
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 59

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