Brazil Food and Drink Report Q2 2015

  • February 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 144 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

We forecast real private consumption growth at 1.3% in Brazil, down from 1.5% in 2014 and 2.6% in 2013, on the back of anaemic GDP growth. A less favourable external environment in light of an ongoing slowdown in Chinese growth, a poor domestic business environment and lack of export competitiveness poses significant headwinds to growth. Brazil is in the early stages of an economic policy shift with new Finance Minister Joaquim Levy set to reverse the fiscal deterioration of recent years and a central bank that is more committed to reining in inflation.

Food and retail consumption is likely to outperform among the country's private consumption items and we project generally strong sales growth for the main companies in the sector. We also believe that a moderation in input prices (grains) could help margins for these companies to recover in the coming months.

Table Of Contents

Brazil Food and Drink Report Q2 2015
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Food 9
Drink 11
Mass Grocery Retail 13
Industry Forecast 15
Consumer Outlook 15
Food 18
Food Consumption 18
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data and Forecasts (Brazil 2012-2019) 19
Processed Food 19
Table: Pasta Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Brazil 2014-2019) 19
Table: Meat Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecast (Brazil 2014-2019) 20
Table: Jams and Jellies Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecast (Brazil 2014-2019) 20
Table: Frozen Fruit and Vegetables Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Brazil 2014-2019) 21
Dairy 21
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Brazil 2014-2019) 22
Confectionery 23
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Brazil 2012-2019) 24
Table: Sweet Biscuits Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Brazil 2014-2019) 26
Drink 27
Hot Drinks 27
Table: Hot Drink Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Brazil 2014-2019) 28
Alcoholic Drinks 29
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Brazil 2014-2019) 30
Soft Drinks 31
Table: Soft Drinks Sales, Production and Trade (Brazil 2014-2019) 32
Mass Grocery Retail 35
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data and Forecasts (Brazil 2014-2019) 36
Table: Sales Breakdown By Retail Format Type (%) 36
Trade 37
Table: Trade Balance - Historical Data and Forecasts (Brazil 2014-2019) 37
Macroeconomic Forecast 38
Economic Analysis 38
Table: GDP By Expenditure (Brazil 2012-2019) 43
Industry Risk Reward Index 44
Latin America Risk/Reward Index 44
Table: Latin America Food and Drink Risk/Reward Index Q215 46
Table: Latin America Food and Drink Risk/Reward Sub-Factor Index Q215 (scores out of 10) 49
Brazil Risk/Reward Index 49
Market Overview 51
Food 51
Prepared Food/Canned Food 51
Confectionery 51
Dairy 53
Meat 54
Poultry 55
Seafood 55
Drink 56
Hot Drinks 56
Soft Drinks 56
Alcoholic Drinks 57
Mass Grocery Retail 59
Table: Structure Of Mass Grocery Retail Market By Estimated Number of Outlets (Brazil 2006-2010) 61
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (Brazil 2006-2015) 62
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (Brazil 2006-2015) 62
Industry Trends And Developments 63
Food 63
Table: BMI Business And Operation Risk Indices 68
Drink 72
Key Industry Trends And Developments 72
Mass Grocery Retail 76
Key Industry Trends And Developments 76
Competitive Landscape 79
Table: Key Players In Brazil's Food Sector 79
Table: Key Players In Brazil's Drink Sector 79
Table: Key Players In Brazil's Mass Grocery Retail Sector 80
Company Profile 81
JBS 81
Table: JBS Financial Results 91
Brasil Foods 93
Embotelladora Andina 95
AB Inbev 96
Table: AB InBev Selected Financials and Ratios 101
Table: AB InBev Selected Historical Financial Data 103
Brasil Kirin 104
Companhia Brasileira de Distribuição 106
Walmart 108
Table: Walmart Financial Highlights 113
Carrefour 114
Table: Carrefour's Main Financial Highlights 122
Global Industry Overview 123
Table: TESCO - Selected Historical Financial Indicators 127
Table: Food and Drink Team's Core Views 131
Demographic Forecast 133
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Brazil 1990-2025) 134
Table: Key Population Ratios (Brazil 1990-2025) 134
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Brazil 1990-2025) 135
Table: Population By Age Group (Brazil 1990-2025) 135
Table: Population By Age Group % (Brazil 1990-2025) 136
Glossary 138
Food and Drink 138
Mass Grocery Retail 138
Methodology 140
Industry Forecast Methodology 140
Sector-Specific Methodology 141
Sources 141
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 142
Table: Food and Drink Risk/Reward Index Indicators 143
Table: Weighting 144

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