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China Infrastructure Report Q2 2016

  • April 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 105 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: A structural slowdown in China's construction sector will not cause a sharp collapse in largescalespending on projects, with the government relying on investment in infrastructure to prop up growthrates. We believe the 13th Five Year Plan is likely to boost investment in the railways, airports and waterinfrastructure sectors and China's One Belt One Road initiative will also provide impetus for the country toaccelerate transport infrastructure projects.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

- We forecast China's construction sector to grow by an annual average of 4.8% between 2016 and 2025 inreal terms, a significant slowdown from the 11.5% registered between 2006 and 2015. Our weakeroutlook for China's construction sector is in line with our Country Risk's team who forecast real GDPgrowth to slow to 5.6% on average over the period 2016-2025 (against 9.6% real GDP growth between2006 and 2015), as Beijing steers the Chinese economy towards more consumption-led growth.

- Under the 13th Five Year Plan, airports, railways and water infrastructure are set to outperform andopportunities in the renewables sector will depend on China's ability to upgrade its transmission grid.

- We believe favourable government policies, that will lend some support to the property market, and plansby the government to attract more private investment into the infrastructure industry provide upside risksto our outlook.

Table Of Contents

China Infrastructure Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Latest Updates And Structural Trends 7
Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (China 2015-2021) 7
Table: Infrastructure Risk Reward Index (China) 8
SWOT 9
Infrastructure SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
China - 13th Five-Year Plan: Innovation And Green Tech Prominent In Infrastructure 11
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario 19
Latest Updates 19
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (China 2015-2025) 20
Structural Trends 20
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 26
Latest Updates 26
Table: Transport Infrastructure Industry Data (China 2015-2025) 26
Structural Trends 27
Table: China: Top Five Transport Projects 34
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook and Overview 35
Latest Updates 35
Table: Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Data (China 2016-2025) 36
Structural Trends 36
Table: Major Projects - Energy and Utilities 50
Residential/Non Residential Building - Outlook And Overview 51
Latest Updates 51
Table: Residential And Non-Residential Building Industry Data (China 2016-2025) 51
Structural Trends 52
Table: Cities Continue To See House Prices Increases 54
Table: Changes To Property Taxes 54
Table: Construction And Social Infrastructure 58
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 59
China - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 59
Risk/Reward Index 59
Rewards 59
Risks 60
APAC Infrastructure RRI: Affirming A Benign 2016 Outlook 61
Table: Asia Risk/Reward Index 68
Market Overview 69
Competitive Landscape 69
Table: Regional Breakdown 74
Table: Policy Developments 76
Table: City Cluster Breakdown 76
Table: Key Financial Company Data 77
Company Profile 78
Sinohydro 78
China Communications Construction 82
Shanghai Construction Group 86
China Railway Group 89
China Railway Construction Corporation 93
Methodology 98
Industry Forecast Methodology 98
Sector-Specific Methodology 99
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 103
Sector-Specific Methodology 104
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 104
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 105

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