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  5. > Australia Oil and Gas Report Q2 2016

Australia Oil and Gas Report Q2 2016

  • March 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 160 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Australia is on course to overtake Qatar as the largest LNG exporter in the world by 2019. Therecent start-up of Chevron's Gorgon LNG marks the country's seventh active export terminal, with threemore projects in various stages of construction. The country will remain a heavy importer of refined fuels,due to substantial cutbacks in domestic refining capacity, and given limited scope for any new additionswithin the next decade, this looks set to continue through to 2025.

The main trends and developments we highlight for Australia's oil and gas sector are:

- An upsurge in liquids output will temporarily swing Australia's crude oil output into a surplus, turning itinto a net importer over 2016-2024. However, rising demand and falling production will reverse the trendfrom 2025.

- Australia is on course to overtake Qatar as the world's largest LNG exporter by 2019, according to ourforecasts.

- The start-up of Chevron's Gorgon LNG means that Australia now has seven active LNG export terminalsin operation, with total export capacity of 88.6bcm.

- While a substantial deficit in refining capacity renders the country to rely on refined fuels imports to meetdemand, we do not see scope for major capacity additions, due to high project cost, rising competition inthe regional exports market and limited growth opportunities offered within a saturated domestic market.

Table Of Contents

Australia Oil and Gas Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (Australia 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 8
Oil and Gas SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 9
Upstream Exploration 9
Latest Updates 9
Structural Trends 9
Table: Recoverable Shale Oil And Gas 12
Table: Proven Oil and Gas Reserves (Australia 2014-2019) 14
Table: Proven Oil and Gas Reserves (Australia 2020-2025) 15
Upstream Projects 16
Table: Australia - Key Upstream Projects 16
Upstream Production - Oil 30
Latest Updates 30
Structural Trends 30
Table: Oil Production (Australia 2014-2019) 32
Table: Oil Production (Australia 2020-2025) 32
Upstream Production - Gas 33
Latest Updates 33
Structural Trends 33
Table: Gas Production (Australia 2014-2019) 36
Table: Gas Production (Australia 2020-2025) 36
Refining 37
Latest Updates 37
Structural Trends 37
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Australia 2014-2019) 39
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Australia 2020-2025) 39
Refined Fuels Consumption 40
Latest Updates 40
Structural Trends 40
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Australia 2014-2019) 43
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Australia 2020-2025) 43
Gas Consumption 44
Latest Updates 44
Structural Trends 44
Table: Gas Consumption (Australia 2014-2019) 47
Table: Gas Consumption (Australia 2020-2025) 48
Trade - Oil 49
Crude Oil 49
Latest Updates 49
Structural Trends 49
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Australia 2014-2019) 51
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Australia 2020-2025) 52
Refined Fuels 52
Latest Updates 52
Structural Trends 52
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Australia 2014-2019) 54
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Australia 2020-2025) 54
Trade - Gas (Pipeline and LNG) 55
Latest Updates 55
Structural Trends 55
Table: Gas Net Exports (Australia 2014-2019) 57
Table: Gas Net Exports (Australia 2020-2025) 57
Industry Risk Reward Index 58
Asia - Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 58
Upstream Risk/Reward Index: Persistent Oil Price Weakness Underpins Bearish Outlook 59
Table: Asia: Upstream Risk/Reward Index 59
Downstream Risk/Reward Index: Projection For Weaker Economic Growth Undermines India's Scores 62
Table: Asia: Downstream Risk/Reward Index 62
Australia - Risk/Reward Index 64
Australia Upstream Index - Overview 64
Australia Upstream Index - Rewards 64
Australia Upstream Index - Risks 64
Australia Downstream Index - Overview 65
Market Overview 66
Australia Energy Market Overview 66
Regulatory Regime 66
Fiscal Regime 67
Table: Key Fiscal Indicators 67
Licensing Rounds 67
Table: 2015 Petroleum Acreage Release 68
Oil and Gas Infrastructure 70
Table: Oil Refineries 70
LNG Terminals 70
Table: LNG Terminals In Australia 70
Gas Pipelines 71
Table: Major Gas Pipelines in Australia 71
Competitive Landscape 72
Competitive Landscape Summary 72
Table: Key Players - Australia Oil and Gas Sector 74
Table: Key Upstream Players 74
Table: Key Downstream Players 75
Company Profile 76
Apache Corporation 76
BG Group Australia 79
BHP Billiton 83
Chevron Australia 90
ConocoPhillips 95
ExxonMobil Australia 100
Royal Dutch Shell 105
Santos 112
Woodside Petroleum 119
Other Summaries 125
Regional Overview 145
Industry Trend Analysis 145
Glossary 153
Table: Glossary Of Terms 153
Methodology 155
Industry Forecast Methodology 155
Source 157
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 157
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 159
Table: Weighting 160

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