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Pakistan Oil and Gas Report Q2 2015

  • March 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 148 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

We believe Pakistan's oil and gas reserves will continue dwindling over the forecast period due to excessive utilisation and lack of significant discoveries. However, several recent exploration successes and government's efforts to incentivise exploration and production pose an upside to our projections and could mitigate the negative trend, especially towards the second half of our forecast period.

Key industry developments:

- According to reports in late January 2015, Pakistan's government is nearing a 15-year long-term liquefied natural gas (LNG) deal with Qatar at an estimated price of USD8-USD10/mn british thermal unit (mnBTU).

Table Of Contents

Pakistan Oil and Gas Report Q2 2015
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (Pakistan 2013-2019) 7
SWOT 9
Oil and Gas SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Upstream Exploration 11
Table: Proven Oil and Gas Reserves (Pakistan 2013-2018) 11
Table: Proven Oil and Gas Reserves (Pakistan 2019-2024) 11
Table: Risks To Pakistan's Water Sector 16
Upstream Projects 18
Table: Pakistan Major Upstream Projects 18
Upstream Production - Oil 21
Table: Oil Production (Pakistan 2013-2018) 21
Table: Oil Production (Pakistan 2019-2024) 21
Upstream Production - Gas 23
Table: Gas Production (Pakistan 2013-2018) 23
Table: Gas Production (Pakistan 2019-2024) 23
Refining 25
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Pakistan 2013-2018) 25
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Pakistan 2019-2024) 25
Refined Fuels Consumption 27
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Pakistan 2013-2018) 27
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Pakistan 2019-2024) 27
Gas Consumption 29
Table: Gas Consumption (Pakistan 2013-2018) 29
Table: Gas Consumption (Pakistan 2019-2024) 29
Trade - Oil 32
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Pakistan 2013-2018) 32
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Pakistan 2019-2024) 32
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Pakistan 2013-2018) 34
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Pakistan 2019-2024) 34
Table: Total Net Oil Exports - Crude and Products (Pakistan 2013-2018) 35
Table: Total Net Oil Exports - Crude and Products (Pakistan 2019-2024) 36
Trade - Gas (Pipeline and LNG) 37
Table: Gas Net Exports (Pakistan 2013-2018) 37
Table: Gas Net Exports (Pakistan 2019-2024) 37
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 44
Asia - Risk/Reward Index 44
Table: Asia's Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 44
Table: Asia Upstream Sector Risk/Reward Index 46
Resource-Rich Countries Hit By State Involvement 48
Downstream Support 50
Pakistan Risk/Reward Index 52
Market Overview 54
Pakistan Energy Market Overview 54
Overview/State Role 54
Government Policy 56
Licensing Rounds 58
Table: Key Upstream Players 59
Table: Key Downstream Players 59
Oil And Gas Infrastructure 60
Oil Refineries 60
Table: Refineries In Pakistan 60
Oil Storage Facilities 61
Oil Terminals/Ports 61
Oil Pipelines 61
LNG Terminals 61
Competitive Landscape 68
Competitive Landscape Summary 68
Table: Key Players - Pakistan Oil and Gas Sector 69
Company Profile 70
Oil and Gas Development Company (OGDCL) 70
Pakistan Petroleum (PPL) 75
Pakistan State Oil (PSO) 80
Pakistan Oilfields 84
Shell Pakistan 87
Other Summaries 90
Regional Overview 97
Asia Oil And Gas Regional Overview 97
Upstream Production: A Weaker Market Ahead 97
Asia: Hit By Industry Spending Caution 100
Downstream: Fierce Market Competition To Endure 102
Oil Consumption: Lower Prices Compensate For Subsidy Cuts 104
Gas Consumption: South Catches Up With North 105
Markets To Watch: India and Indonesia 107
Global Industry Overview 110
Global Industry Overview - 5 Themes For 2015: Oil and Gas 110
Table: LNG Export Terminals At Pre-FID Stage 115
Appendix 117
Global - Crude Oil, Refined Fuels And Natural Gas Prices, 10-year Forecasts 117
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2013-2018) 117
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2019-2024) 118
Asia - Regional Appendix 120
Table: Oil Consumption - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2011-2018 ('000b/d) 120
Table: Oil Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 ('000b/d) 121
Table: Oil Production - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2011-2018 ('000b/d) 121
Table: Oil Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 ('000b/d) 122
Table: Refining Capacity - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2011-2018 ('000b/d) 124
Table: Refining Capacity - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 ('000b/d) 125
Table: Gas Production - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2011-2018 (bcm) 126
Table: Gas Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 (bcm) 127
Table: Gas Consumption - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2011-2018 (bcm) 128
Table: Gas Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 (bcm) 129
Table: LNG Exports - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2011-2018 (bcm) 130
Table: Net LNG Exports - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 (bcm) 131
Pakistan - Refined Products Breakdown, 10-year Forecast 132
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Production Breakdown (Pakistan 2013-2018) 132
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Production Breakdown (Pakistan 2019-2024) 133
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Consumption Breakdown (Pakistan 2013-2018) 134
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Consumption Breakdown (Pakistan 2019-2024) 135
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Net Exports Breakdown (Pakistan 2013-2018) 136
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Net Exports Breakdown (Pakistan 2019-2024) 137
Pakistan - Total Hydrocarbons, 10-year Forecasts 139
Table: Total Hydrocarbons Production, Consumption and Net Exports (Pakistan 2013-2018) 139
Table: Total Hydrocarbons Production, Consumption and Net Exports (Pakistan 2019-2024) 139
Glossary 141
Table: Glossary Of Terms 141
Methodology 143
Industry Forecast Methodology 143
Source 145
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 145
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 147
Table: Weighting 148

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