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Germany Food and Drink Report Q2 2015

  • February 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 130 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

We have downgraded our outlook for Germany's food and drink sector on account of subdued private consumption, weak exports and a protracted economic slowdown. Between 2014 and 2019, total food consumption is forecast to expand by a compound annual growth rate of 3.6%. However, risks lie to the downside as the external environment in the eurozone and Ukraine remains tense, while the German economy is gradually losing its competitive edge. Our forecasts for real GDP growth are below consensus and private consumption is not expected to have a significant positive impact on growth.

Key Forecasts (local currency)

- Total food consumption growth year-on-year (y-o-y) in 2015: +4.0%; compound annual growth rate (CAGR) 2014-2019: +3.6%
- Food consumption per capita growth (y-o-y) in 2015: +3.8%; CAGR 2014-2019: +3.5%
- Total soft drinks sales growth (y-o-y) in 2015: +2.5%; CAGR 2014-2019: +3.0%
- Alcoholic drinks sales growth (y-o-y) in 2015: +0.2%; CAGR 2014-2019: +0.5%
- Total mass grocery retail sales growth (y-o-y) in 2015: +3.9%; CAGR 2014-2019: +4.5%

Table Of Contents

Germany Food and Drink Report Q2 2015
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 10
Food 10
Drink 12
Mass Grocery Retail 14
Industry Forecast 16
Consumer Outlook 16
Food 17
Food Consumption 17
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data and Forecasts (Germany 2012-2019) 18
Confectionery 18
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Germany 2012-2019) 19
Frozen Fruit And Vegetables 21
Table: Frozen Fruit and Vegetables Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Germany 2012-2019) 22
Snack Foods 23
Table: Sweet Biscuits Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Germany 2012-2019) 23
Pasta 25
Table: Pasta Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Germany 2012-2019) 26
Dairy 26
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Germany 2012-2019) 27
Meat 28
Table: Meat Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecast (Germany 2011-2019) 29
Fish 29
Table: Fish Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecast (Germany 2012-2019) 30
Oils and Fats 31
Table: Oils and Fats Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecast (Germany 2011-2018) 31
Drink 34
Soft Drinks 34
Table: Soft Drinks Sales, Production and Trade (Germany 2012-2019) 35
Alcoholic Drinks 37
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Germany 2012-2019) 38
Hot Drinks 39
Table: Hot Drink Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Germany 2012-2019) 40
Mass Grocery Retail 41
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data and Forecasts (Germany 2012-2019) 42
Trade 43
Table: Trade Balance - Historical Data and Forecasts (Germany 2012-2019) 43
Macroeconomic Forecast 44
Economic Analysis 44
Table: Selected Operation Risk Index Scores (100=Most Competitive) 45
Table: Germany GDP By Expenditure 48
Industry Risk Reward Index 49
Western Europe - Risk/Reward Index 49
Table: Western Europe Food and Drink Risk/Reward Index Q215 51
Germany Risk/Reward Index 54
Market Overview 55
Food 55
Food Production 55
Organics 55
Dairy 56
Drink 57
Soft Drinks 57
Alcoholic Drinks 58
Mass Grocery Retail 59
Table: Structure Of Mass Grocery Retail Market By Estimated Number of Outlets (Germany 2006-2010) 60
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (Germany 2010-2019) 60
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (Germany 2010-2019) 61
Industry Trends And Developments 62
Food 62
Key Industry Trends And Developments 62
Drink 71
Key Industry Trends And Developments 71
Mass Grocery Retail 76
Key Industry Trends And Developments 76
Competitive Landscape 81
Table: Key Players In Germany's Food Sector 81
Table: Key Players In Germany's Drink Sector 82
Table: Key Players In Germany's Mass Grocery Retail Sector 83
Company Profile 85
Oetker Group 85
DMK 88
Haribo 91
Lieken Group 94
Emig 96
Radeberger Group 98
AB InBev Germany 100
Lidl Group 103
Rewe Group 106
Global Industry Overview 109
Table: TESCO - Selected Historical Financial Indicators 113
Table: Food and Drink Team's Core Views 117
Demographic Forecast 119
Demographic Outlook 119
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Germany 1990-2025) 120
Table: Key Population Ratios (Germany 1990-2025) 120
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Germany 1990-2025) 121
Table: Population By Age Group (Germany 1990-2025) 121
Table: Population By Age Group % (Germany 1990-2025) 122
Glossary 124
Food and Drink 124
Mass Grocery Retail 124
Methodology 126
Industry Forecast Methodology 126
Sector-Specific Methodology 127
Sources 127
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 128
Table: Food and Drink Risk/Reward Index Indicators 129
Table: Weighting 130

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