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  4. > Russia Petrochemicals Report Q2 2016

Russia Petrochemicals Report Q2 2016

  • March 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 99 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

The Russian petrochemicals industry saw robust output growth as a result of the depreciation of the roubleand the decline in naphtha feedstock costs. However, growth will come under pressure in 2016 due to asluggish recovery in domestic end-markets.Basic chemicals production rose 6.3% year-on-year (y-o-y) in 2015 with all segments witnessing increases.According to the Federal State Statistics Service of the Russian Federation, production of ethylene exceeded2.79mn tonnes, up 16.4% y-o-y. However, Russia's petrochemicals sector also suffers from structuralinefficiencies which have deterred investment, particularly in the country's oriented production.

Challengesinclude the country's manufacturing sector, which is not competitive without the presence of governmentincentives. Importantly, we do not expect such hurdles to be cleared in the short-to-medium term, resultingin a subdued outlook for the country's export-led industries.In 2016, the construction sector is due to contract by 1.2%, while the automotive industry will see outputdecline 3.1% following heavy slumps in 2015. With these sectors playing a critical role in thepetrochemicals markets, they will impact heavily on domestic petrochemicals production across a widevariety of segments.

Table Of Contents

Russia Petrochemicals Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Political 10
Economic 11
Operational Risk 13
Industry Forecast 15
Table: Russia - Petrochemicals Historical Data and Forecasts, 2012-2020 21
Macroeconomic Forecast 23
Economic Analysis 23
Industry Risk/Reward Index 30
Europe Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 30
Table: European Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index (scores out of 100) 33
Russia Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 34
Market Overview 36
Table: Cracker Capacity Data - Historical Data and Forecasts ('000 tpa) 42
Industry Trends And Developments 44
Fertiliser 48
Upstream 48
Company Profile 51
Sibur Holding 51
Table: Financial Highlights (RUBmn, Unless Stated Otherwise) 55
Lukoil 56
Table: Financial Results (USDmn) 59
Nizhnekamskneftekhim (NKNK) 61
Table: Financial Results (RUBmn) 63
Regional Overview 64
Plant Turnarounds 68
Table: Europe Plant Turnarounds 68
Global Industry Overview 76
Global - Crude Oil, Refined Fuels And Natural Gas Prices 86
Table: Global Energy Price Forecasts (2014-2019) 86
Table: Global Energy Price Forecasts (2020-2025) 87
Demographic Forecast 89
Demographic Outlook 89
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Russia 1990-2025) 90
Table: Key Population Ratios (Russia 1990-2025) 90
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Russia 1990-2025) 91
Table: Population By Age Group (Russia 1990-2025) 91
Table: Population By Age Group % (Russia 1990-2025) 92
Glossary 94
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms 94
Methodology 95
Industry Forecast Methodology 95
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 97
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators 98
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 99

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