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  4. > Ukraine Petrochemicals Report Q2 2016

Ukraine Petrochemicals Report Q2 2016

  • March 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 76 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

Ukraine's petrochemicals industry will remain beset with the problems caused by the country's politicalturmoil and resulting economic collapse. The devaluation of the hryvnia has added to the economicheadwinds, while the end-markets for petrochemicals - notably the automotive and construction sectors -remain in a slump. Even if consumption does recover, a return to pre-crisis levels of petrochemicals outputis unlikely and polymer and fertiliser plants will produce at a fraction of capacity, if they are operating atall.BMI estimates that in 2015, rubber and plastic production was down 11% y-o-y, with rubber output falling20% y-o-y and plastic down 9%. The rate of rubber output decline eased in H215 with some growth fromSeptember. However, growth in the final months of 2015 was from a very low base and well below the ratenecessary to return to pre-crisis levels. Further upstream, most of Ukraine's refineries remain closed as of2015 leading to a severe underutilisation of its refining capacity with knock-on effects for the country'sembattled petrochemicals industry, which lacks sufficient local feedstock access.

Table Of Contents

Ukraine Petrochemicals Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 10
Table: Ukraine Petrochemicals - Olefin and Polyolefin Data and Forecasts 14
Macroeconomic Forecasts 15
Economic Analysis 15
Table: Private Consumption Forecasts (Ukraine 2013-2024) 17
Table: GDP Growth Forecasts (Ukraine 2013-2024) 18
Table: Government Consumption Forecasts (Ukraine 2013-2024) 19
Table: Fixed Investment Forecasts (Ukraine 2013-2024) 20
Table: Net Exports Forecasts (Ukraine 2013-2024) 22
Table: GDP Growth Forecasts (Ukraine 2013-2024) 22
Industry Risk/Reward Index 23
Europe Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 23
Table: European Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index (scores out of 100) 26
Ukraine Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 27
Market Overview 28
Industry Trends And Developments 29
Upstream 32
Table: Refineries In Ukraine 33
Company Profile 34
Karpatneftekhim 34
Rosneft 37
Stirol 39
Regional Overview 41
Plant Turnarounds 45
Table: Europe Plant Turnarounds 45
Global Industry Overview 53
Global - Crude Oil, Refined Fuels And Natural Gas Prices 63
Table: Global Energy Price Forecasts (2014-2019) 63
Table: Global Energy Price Forecasts (2020-2025) 64
Demographic Forecast 66
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Ukraine 1990-2025) 67
Table: Key Population Ratios (Ukraine 1990-2025) 67
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Ukraine 1990-2025) 68
Table: Population By Age Group (Ukraine 1990-2025) 68
Table: Population By Age Group % (Ukraine 1990-2025) 69
Glossary 71
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms 71
Methodology 72
Industry Forecast Methodology 72
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 74
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators 75
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 76

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