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  5. > South Africa Petrochemicals Report Q2 2016

South Africa Petrochemicals Report Q2 2016

  • February 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 74 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates


BMI View:
The South African petrochemicals industry witnessed a contraction in 2015 amid slow overall economic growth. The industry is in recession and it could take at least two years before returning to growth as key petrochemicals sectors flatline in a difficult operating environment. The sector is the worst affected area of an economy that is enduring sub-2% growth and falling competitiveness.

In 2015, basic chemicals output fell 0.9% y-o-y, while plastic fell 2.2% and rubber declined 1.2%. However, some signs of recovery were seen in H215 with uptrends in plastics and chemicals. In terms of end-markets, the construction sector is enduring a poor performance, which is helping to depress demand for construction-related polymers. On the upside, the automotive industry enjoyed a boom in 2015 and rising local content in cars manufactured in South Africa offers further opportunities for consumption group.

Table Of Contents

South Africa Petrochemicals Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View ... 7
SWOT 9
Political . 11
Economic ... 12
Operational Risk . 13
Industry Forecast .. 15
Table: South Africa's Chemicals and Petrochemicals Sector, 2012-2020 . 19
Macroeconomic Forecasts ... 20
Economic Analysis ... 20
Table: Economic Activity (South Africa 2010-2019) 22
Industry Risk/Reward Index . 23
MEA Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index .. 23
Table: MEA Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index - Q2 2016 . . 28
South Africa Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 29
Market Overview ... 31
Industry Trends And Developments 34
Sasol ... 34
Refining ... 35
Upstream .. 37
Company Profile 39
Sasol . 39
Table: Sasol - Financial Results, Financial Year Ending June 30 (ZARmn), 2010-2014 . . 42
Regional Overview 43
Middle East And Africa Overview ... 43
Global Industry Overview .. 51
Global - Crude Oil, Refined Fuels And Natural Gas Prices .. 61
Table: Global Energy Price Forecasts (2014-2019) 61
Table: Global Energy Price Forecasts (2020-2025) 62
Demographic Forecast . 64
Demographic Outlook .. 64
Table: Population Headline Indicators (South Africa 1990-2025) . 65
Table: Key Population Ratios (South Africa 1990-2025) . 65
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (South Africa 1990-2025) 66
Table: Population By Age Group (South Africa 1990-2025) . 66
Table: Population By Age Group % (South Africa 1990-2025) . 67
Glossary . 69
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms . 69
Methodology .. 70
Industry Forecast Methodology 70
Risk/Reward Index Methodology ... 72
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators . . 73
Table: Weighting Of Indicators . 74

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