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Indonesia Petrochemicals Report Q2 2016

  • March 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 84 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The overhaul of Indonesian petrochemicals producer Chandra Asri Petrochemicals' cracker in2015 will boost the firm's revenues and output in 2016, and enable Indonesia to leverage the competitiveadvantages it enjoys in naphtha feedstock as well as the falling value of the rupiah. However, the marketremains dependent on imports, and expansion is not happening at a fast enough pace to fulfil local demand.The development of a world-scale petrochemicals facility is still at least five years away, and in themeantime much of Indonesia's market growth will be served by imports.Indonesia has a high level of import requirements and would need a world-scale petrochemicals complex toachieve self-sufficiency.

In all, Indonesia had just 44% self-sufficiency in polymer resins in 2015, withdemand for polyethylene (PE) and polypropylene (PP) at 3.11mn tonnes and production at 1.38mn tonnes.In Q116, Chandra Asri Petrochemicals (CAP) was bringing its expanded facility back online, albeit withinitial technical problems causing stoppages and low capacity utilisation. The expansion means productioncapacity of ethylene and propylene is expected to increase to 860,000 tonnes per annum (tpa) and470,000tpa respectively, from 600,000tpa and 320,000tpa in 2015. CAP hopes the growth will lead torevenues rising by at least 30%, helping to sustain net profit at 4.7%.

Table Of Contents

Indonesia Petrochemicals Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Political 10
Economic 12
Operational Risk 14
Industry Forecast 16
Table: Petrochemicals Projects in Indonesia 18
Table: Indonesia's Petrochemicals Sector, 2012-2020 20
Macroeconomic Forecasts 22
Economic Growth Outlook 22
Industry Risk/Reward Index 25
Asia Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 25
Table: Asia Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Ranking 28
Indonesia Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 29
Market Overview 30
Table: Indonesian Petrochemicals Sector Capacity 33
Industry Trends And Developments 34
Fertiliser 36
Regulation 37
Upstream 38
Table: Refineries In Indonesia 40
Company Profile 41
Chandra Asri (CACP) 41
Table: Chandra Asri - Financial Results (USDmn) 42
Pertamina 44
Petrokimia Gresik (Petrogres) 49
Regional Overview 51
Asia Overview 51
Global Industry Overview 61
Global - Crude Oil, Refined Fuels And Natural Gas Prices 71
Table: Global Energy Price Forecasts (2014-2019) 71
Table: Global Energy Price Forecasts (2020-2025) 72
Demographic Forecast 74
Demographic Outlook 74
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Indonesia 1990-2025) 75
Table: Key Population Ratios (Indonesia 1990-2025) 75
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Indonesia 1990-2025) 76
Table: Population By Age Group (Indonesia 1990-2025) 76
Table: Population By Age Group % (Indonesia 1990-2025) 77
Glossary 79
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms 79
Methodology 80
Industry Forecast Methodology 80
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 82
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators 83
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 84

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