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United Kingdom Food and Drink Report Q2 2016

  • March 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 79 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: We maintain our favourable consumer outlook for the UK, with household spending growthoutperforming most Western European markets. This will boost sales of food and drink, although the sectorwill expand at a more moderate pace than headline household spending due to the existing maturity of theindustry. In addition, the ongoing price war in the food retail sector will continue to put downward pressureon nominal sales.

Latest Updates & Industry Developments

- The UK remains one of our favourite consumer markets in Western Europe. Nonetheless, we seeincreasing risks to household spending over the coming quarters. We do not expect further significantreductions in unemployment, while the expansion of wages has cooled down. With consumptionaccounting for a large share of household income and high leverage, any external shock couldsignificantly affect our growth prospects.

- Our positive consumer outlook will boost sales of food and drink. Nonetheless, sales will expand at aslower pace compared with headline household spending, due to existing sector immaturity. In addition,the price war in the food retail sector will continue to impact nominal sales. German discounters Aldi and Lidl continue to invest heavily in the UK, taking market share away from legacy retailers (Tesco,Sainsbury's, Asda and Morrisons).

Table Of Contents

United Kingdom Food and Drink Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Food and Drink 9
Industry Forecast 11
Consumer Outlook 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 11
Food 13
Latest Updates 13
Structural Trends 14
Table: Food Sales (United Kingdom 2013-2020) 15
Drink 17
Latest Updates 17
Structural Trends 17
Table: Non-Alcoholic Drink Sales (United Kingdom 2013-2020) 21
Mass Grocery Retail 22
Latest Updates 22
Structural Trends 22
Industry Risk Reward Index 23
Western Europe Risk/Reward Index 23
Table: Western Europe Food and Drink Risk/Reward Index Q216 25
United Kingdom - Risk/Reward Index 28
Market Overview 30
Food 30
Drink 35
Mass Grocery Retail 39
Competitive Landscape 42
Table: Key Players In The UK's Food Sector 42
Table: Key Players In The UK's Drink Sector 44
Table: Key Players In The UK's Mass Grocery Retail Sector 46
Company Profile 48
Associated British Foods 48
Unilever 50
Dairy Crest Group 52
Mondelez International 55
Premier Foods 57
Diageo 60
Sainsbury's 62
Asda 64
Tesco 66
Demographic Forecast 68
Table: Population Headline Indicators (United Kingdom 1990-2025) 69
Table: Key Population Ratios (United Kingdom 1990-2025) 69
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (United Kingdom 1990-2025) 70
Table: Population By Age Group (United Kingdom 1990-2025) 70
Table: Population By Age Group % (United Kingdom 1990-2025) 71
Glossary 73
Food and Drink 73
Mass Grocery Retail 73
Methodology 75
Industry Forecast Methodology 75
Sector-Specific Methodology 76
Sources 76
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 77
Table: Food and Drink Risk/Reward Index Indicators 78
Table: Weighting 79

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