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Spain Defence and Security Report Q2 2014

  • March 2014
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 81 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: BMI's Spain Defence & Security Report for Q2 2014 examines the country's strategic posture,
its defence industry and its defence procurement plans. It also details the country's armed forces' orders of
battle, in addition to the competencies and performance of its major defence companies.
BMI believes that Spain will spend US$14bn on defence in 2014. This is a slight decrease from 2013. For
the years 2014-2018, we believe that Spain will spend, on average, US$14bn annually on defence. We
expect a period of decline in the years 2015-2016, with the defence budget falling to US$13.8bn; a level
that we expect it to maintain into 2016, before a further increase in 2017 when the budget, we believe, we
climb to US$14.1bn. We then expect it to reach US$14.5bn in 2018.
BMI has given Spain an overall security risk reward rating of 82 for Q214. We believe that Spain is highly
unlikely to become involved in a major interstate conflict. Moreover, we assess the country as having a
moderate risk of experiencing a terrorist attack, although we judge it to be at less risk from crime.

Table Of Contents

Spain Defence and Security Report Q2 2014
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Spain Security SWOT 8
Spain Defence SWOT 9
Political . 10
Economic .. 11
Business Environment 12
Industry Forecast .. 13
Defence Expenditure . 13
Table: Defence Expenditure, 2010-2018 13
Table: Defence Expenditure Scenario - Changing % Of GDP, 2010-2018 (US$mn) 14
Armed Forces . 15
Table: Armed Forces, 2001-2011 ('000 personnel, unless otherwise stated) . . 15
Table: Manpower Available For Military Service, 2010-2018 (aged 16-49 unless otherwise stated) . 16
Defence Trade 16
Table: Defence Trade Balance, 2010-2018 (US$mn) . . 17
Exports 17
Table: Defence Exports 2010-2018 (US$mn) . 17
Imports 18
Table: Defence Imports 2010-2018 (US$mn) . 18
Macroeconomic Forecasts .. 19
Economic Analysis .. 19
Table: Spain - Economic Activity . . 23
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 24
Developed States Security Risk Ratings .. 24
Table: Developed States Regional Security Ratings . 24
Table: Developed States State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index . . 25
Spain Security Risk Ratings .. 25
Market Overview 27
Spain Defence Market Overview .. 27
Armed Forces . 27
Table: Spain's Foreign Deployments . 39
Weapons Of Mass Destruction 40
Domestic Defence Industries .. 40
Exports 42
Spain Security Overview 44
Domestic Threats .. 44
Regional Threats 48
International Threats 48
Company Profile . 49
Airbus Military . 49
General Dynamics Santa Barbara Sistemas .. 51
Indra Sistemas . 53
ITP . 55
Navantia 57
Regional Overview 59
Europe Security Overview . 59
Global Industry Overview .. 68
Global Political Outlook 68
Table: Election Timetable, 2014 73
Methodology . 77
Industry Forecast Methodology . 77
Sector-Specific Methodology .. 78
Sources 79
Risk/Reward Rating Methodology . 79
Sector-Specific Methodology .. 80
Table: Security Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators . 80
Table: Weighting Of Indicators . 81

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