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Syria Defence and Security Report Q2 2014

  • March 2014
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 83 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI expects Syria to spend US$1.6bn on defence in 2014, although we believe that this figure could increase to US$1.7bn in 2015. We expect this upward trend to continue in 2016 with the country spending US$1.8bn annually on defence, with it then spending US$2.2bn and US$2.8bn in 2017 and 2018 respectively.
Syria maintains several armed forces including its Army, Navy, Air Force and Air Defence Force. The numerical size of these armed forces have experienced a significant reduction since the outbreak of the Syrian Civil War in 2011. This is primarily the result of defections of personnel to the armed opposition fighting the government of President Bashir al-Assad, and as the result of casualties sustained by the Syrian armed forces during hostilities.

Table Of Contents

Syria Defence and Security Report Q2 2014
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Syria Defence and Security SWOT 8
Syria Defence and Security SWOT 9
Political 10
Economic 11
Business Environment 12
Industry Forecast 13
Defence Expenditure 13
Table: Defence Expenditure 14
Table: Defence Expenditure Scenario - Changing % Of GDP, 2010-2017 (US$mn) 15
Armed Forces 15
Table: Armed Forces ('000 personnel, unless otherwise stated) 16
Table: Manpower Available For Military Service, 2010-2017 (aged 16-49 unless otherwise stated) 16
Defence Exports 16
Table: Defence Exports (US$mn) 17
Defence Imports 17
Table: Defence Imports (US$mn) 18
Macroeconomic Forecasts 19
Economic Analysis 19
Table: SYRIA - Economic Activity 26
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 27
MENA Security Risk Ratings 27
Table: Middle East And Africa Regional Security Ratings 27
Table: Middle East And Africa State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index 28
Syria Risk Ratings 28
Market Overview 30
Syria Defence Market Overview 30
Arms Trade Overview 30
Armed Forces and Government Spending 31
Domestic Defence Industries 39
Weapons of Mass Destruction 39
Syria Security Overview 41
Domestic Threats 42
Regional Threats 49
International Threats 50
Regional Overview 53
Middle East and Africa Security Overview 53
Global Industry Overview 69
Global Political Outlook 69
Table: Election Timetable, 2014 74
Methodology 79
Industry Forecast Methodology 79
Sector-Specific Methodology 80
Sources 81
Risk/Reward Rating Methodology 81
Sector-Specific Methodology 81
Table: Security Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators 82
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 83

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