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Australia Mining Report Q2 2016

  • March 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 113 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Nickel and bauxite will emerge as the Australian mining industry's production growth brightspots during 2016-2020. Coal and gold output growth will slow more markedly due to continued priceweakness.Although Australia will remain one of the world's largest mineral producers, growth will slow across theboard due to continued mineral price weakness. The Australian mining sector will be particularly affectedby China's economic slowdown, as the country accounts for almost 80.0% of the country's iron ore exports.We expect Australia's mining industry value to fall to USD86bn in 2016, down from USD96bn in 2015. Weforecast Australia's mining industry value growth to pick up again by 2018, reaching USD94bn in 2020.Iron ore, for example, which accounts for 33.5% of the country's mining industry value, will increase itsshare to 36.3% of industry value by 2020 and drive industry growth.

Table Of Contents

Australia Mining Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Australia Mining Industry Value 7
Latest Developments and Structural Trends 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Bauxite: Amrun To Lead Growth 11
Latest Developments 11
Table: Australia - Bauxite Production Forecast 11
Table: Australia - Select Bauxite Projects 12
Structural Trends 12
Coal: Growth To Slow 15
Latest Developments 15
Table: Coal Production Forecast (Australia 2012-2020) 15
Table: Australia: Select Coal Projects 15
Structural Trends 16
Copper: Strong Production Despite Weak Prices 22
Latest Developments 22
Table: Copper Production Forecast (Australia 2012-2020) 22
Table: Australia - Largest Copper Projects 23
Structural Trends 23
Gold: Weaker Australian Dollar To Encourage Growth 26
Latest Developments 26
Table: Gold Production Forecast (Australia 2012-2020) 26
Table: Australia - Largest Gold Mining Projects 26
Structural Trends 27
Domestic and International Firms Still Active 27
Iron Ore: Smaller High-Cost Miners To Exit 29
Latest Developments 29
Table: Australia Iron Ore Production Forecast 29
Table: Australia - New Iron Ore Projects 29
Structural Trends 31
Lead: Zinc To Drag Down Growth 35
Latest Developments 35
Table: Lead Production Forecast (Australia 2012-2020) 35
Table: Australia Selected Lead Projects 35
Structural Trends 36
Nickel: More Mine Closures Ahead 39
Latest Developments 39
Table: Nickel Production Forecast (Australia 2012-2020) 39
Table: Australia - Select Nickel Projects 40
Structural Trends 40
Tin: Production To Boom 43
Latest Developments 43
Table: Tin Production Forecast (Australia 2012-2020) 43
Table: Australia - Tin Mining Projects 44
Structural Trends 44
Zinc: No Rebound To Previous Highs 46
Latest Developments 46
Table: Zinc Production Forecast (Australia 2012-2020) 46
Table: Australia Selected Zinc Projects 46
Structural Trends 47
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 49
Australia Risk/Reward Index 49
Rewards 49
Industry Rewards 49
Country Rewards 49
Risks 49
Industry Risks 49
Country Risks 50
Asia Risk Reward Index 51
Australia Stays On Top While India and Myanmar Gain 51
Shifting Scores Reflect Changing Sector Dynamics 52
Table: Asia - Mining Risk/Reward Index 53
Regulatory Development 54
Key Regulation Facts 54
Trade and Investment Risk Analysis 55
Table: Australia - Mineral Taxes 58
Commodities Forecast 59
Commodity Strategy 59
Ferrous Metals 59
Iron Ore: Price Weakness To Continue Over Coming Years 59
Steel: Oversupply To Drag Down Prices 61
Non-Ferrous Metals 64
Aluminium: Continued Weakness, But No Sharp Downturn 64
Copper: Recent Relief Rally To Fade 66
Lead: Prices Weakness To Continue 67
Nickel: Subdued Prices Due To Weak Demand Growth 68
Tin: Supply Deficits To Underpin Rally In Tin Prices 69
Zinc: Positive Multi-Year Outlook, But Increasing Risks In Months Ahead 70
Table: Select Commodities - Performance and BMI Forecasts 72
Competitive Landscape 73
Iron Ore Majors To Outperform 73
Table: Financial Data For Key Mining Firms Listed In Australia 74
Company Profile 77
Global Company Strategy - Rio Tinto - Q2 2016 77
Company Overview 79
Company Strategy 80
Table: Rio Tinto - Key Projects 83
Latest Financial Results 83
Table: Rio Tinto - Key Financial Data 84
Glencore 86
Table: Glencore - Key Financial Data 90
Global Company Strategy - MMG Limited - Q2 2016 92
Table: MMG Ltd - Supply Chain Analysis 96
Table: MMG Limited - Key Financial Data 97
BHP Billiton - Q2 2016 98
Latest Financial Results 100
Table: BHP Billiton - Supply Chain Analysis 103
Table: BHP Billiton - Key Financial Data 104
Regional Overview 105
Continued Domination Of Iron Ore Production 105
Indian Coal Consumption To Outperform 106
China and India To Lead In Outbound Investment 107
Indonesian Ban To Continue 109
Methodology 110
Industry Forecast Methodology 110
Sources 111
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 112
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 113

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