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Ukraine Infrastructure Report Q2 2016

  • March 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 50 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: We continue to hold a negative view of the Ukraine's infrastructure sector. Sustained pressureon public spending and a hostile foreign investment environment will continue to hamper new developmentsand the project pipeline remains slim, despite a growing infrastructure deficit. As such constructionindustry value is expected to record further contractions over the short term, before slowly returning torecovery over the latter stages of the forecast period. Some potential upsides include an influx of fundingfrom regional bodies to aid infrastructure recovery, as well as the (much delayed) privatisation of key stateowned assets.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

- Large sections of Ukraine's power network were affected by a cyber attack in late 2015, with attacksreportedly continuing through January 2016, resulting in widespread power outages. These attackshighlight the vulnerability of Ukraine's infrastructure network to cyber attacks and will likely promptinvestment in greater cyber security.

- Meanwhile, power disruptions to the annexed Crimea continue following the destruction of substations inlate 2015. Russia is seeking to establish direct electricity grid links with the annexed region, vital asCrimea's existing power plants only cover 20% of demand.

- The poor investment environment in Ukraine, exacerbated by ongoing conflict and political tensions, willcontinue to hamper growth in the infrastructure sector. We expect construction industry value to fall by13.1% in 2016 followed by a further decline of 4.68% in 2017 before a tentative return to growth.

Table Of Contents

Ukraine Infrastructure Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (Ukraine 2015-2021) 7
Table: Ukraine Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 8
SWOT 9
Infrastructure SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario 11
Latest Updates 11
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Ukraine 2015-2025) 11
Structural Trends 12
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 15
Latest Updates 15
Table: Transport Infrastructure Industry Data (Ukraine 2015-2025) 15
Structural Trends 16
Table: Transport Infrastructure - Key Projects 19
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 20
Latest Updates 20
Table: Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Data (Ukraine 2015-2025) 20
Structural Trends 21
Table: Energy And Utilities Key Projects 26
Residential And Non-Residential Building - Outlook And Overview 27
Latest Updates 27
Table: Residential and Non-Residential Building Industry Data (Ukraine 2015-2025) 27
Structural Trends 27
Table: Construction And Social Infrastructure Key Projects 29
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 30
Ukraine - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 30
Rewards 30
Risks 30
Europe - CEE Infrastructure RRI: Heightened Risks Belie Growing Rewards 31
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 36
Market Overview 37
Competitive Landscape 37
Table: EQS Industry Data 37
Company Profile 39
Aerobud 39
Altis-Holding Corporation 41
Methodology 43
Industry Forecast Methodology 43
Sector-Specific Methodology 44
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 48
Sector-Specific Methodology 49
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 49
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 50

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