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  4. > Brazil Petrochemicals Report Q2 2016

Brazil Petrochemicals Report Q2 2016

  • March 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 84 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The Brazilian petrochemicals industry will only just offset the expected contraction in thedomestic market with export growth, supported by lower naphtha feedstock prices and a weak currency.While export growth helped limit the effects of a deteriorating domestic market in 2015, there is uncertaintyover the strength of any long-term recovery.The industry's domestic petrochemicals sales shrank 5.4% in 2015 with national demand for chemicalproducts for industrial use falling 6.8%, according to the Brazilian Chemical Industry Association(Abiquim). The deceleration of domestic activity and the real devaluation affected the volume of imports,which fell 21.6%. This enabled local producers to raise their domestic market share by 5.4 percentage pointseven as the market shrank.Year on year, Brazilian demand for resins (PE, PP and PVC) was approximately 4.9mn tonnes, down 7.6%from 2014. However, local resins producers' domestic market share was one percentage point higher withresins sales of 3.4mn tonnes, a decrease of 6% in comparison to 2014 but lower than the market'scontraction.

Table Of Contents

Brazil Petrochemicals Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Political 10
Economic 11
Operational Risk 12
Industry Forecast 14
Production 14
Consumption 15
Trade 17
Table: Brazil Petrochemicals Sector - Historical Data And Forecasts, 2012-2020 19
Macroeconomic Forecasts 20
Economic Analysis 20
Table: 10-Year GDP Forecasts 26
Table: Private Consumption Forecasts 26
Table: Government Consumption Forecasts 27
Table: Gross Fixed Capital Formation Forecasts 27
Table: Net Export Forecasts 28
Industry Risk/Reward Ratings 29
Americas Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 29
Table: Americas Petrochemicals Risk/Rewards Ratings 32
Market Overview 33
Industry Trends And Developments 35
2015 in Review 35
Plants and Projects 36
Doubts Over Comperj's viability 37
Legacy of the Petrobras Corruption Scandal 38
Foreign Ventures 40
Financial and Operational Performance 41
Bioplastics 41
Company Profile 43
Braskem 43
Table: Braskem Financial Results - BRLmn 48
Petróleo Brasileiro (Petrobras) 49
Regional Overview 55
Americas Overview 55
Table: Planned Cracker Projects 60
Global Industry Overview 61
Global - Crude Oil, Refined Fuels And Natural Gas Prices 71
Table: Global Energy Price Forecasts (2014-2019) 71
Table: Global Energy Price Forecasts (2020-2025) 72
Demographic Forecast 74
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Brazil 1990-2025) 75
Table: Key Population Ratios (Brazil 1990-2025) 75
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Brazil 1990-2025) 76
Table: Population By Age Group (Brazil 1990-2025) 76
Table: Population By Age Group % (Brazil 1990-2025) 77
Glossary 79
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms 79
Methodology 80
Industry Forecast Methodology 80
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 82
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators 83
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 84

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