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Chile Mining Report Q2 2016

  • March 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 52 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Chile's mining sector will experience limited growth, as copper and gold prices remain weakover our forecast period to 2020.The country will remain the top global copper producer, although risingproduction costs and falling ore grades will curb output growth.

Latest Updates & Structural Trends

- Chile, the largest copper producer, will experience relatively flat growth over 2016 to 2020, as weakcopper prices and rising operational costs limit investment. We forecast Chile's annual copper productiongrowth to average 1.6% over this period, increasing in volume from 6.0 million tonnes (mnt) in 2016 to6.4mnt by 2020.

- Chile's gold sector will experience limited growth over our forecast period to 2020 due to persistently lowgold prices. We expect production to increase at an average y-o-y rate of 1.5% between 2016 and 2020,with output growing from 1.8moz to 1.9moz.

- Elevated operating costs, notably water and power costs, will weigh on Chile's extractive sector, deterringinvestment particularly in light of lower costs in neighbouring Peru. While lower oil prices and a weakerChilean peso on the back of US dollar strength will cap growth in input costs, providing a boon to minersfacing subdued metal prices, the benefit will be outweighed by rising operating costs.

- State-owned Codelco will remain Chile's largest copper miner as measured in output, and indeed thelargest copper miner globally, through 2020. Nonetheless, the company recently pushed back its forecastfor 2.0mnt of copper output annually to 2025, from its earlier target of 2020. The firm's USD22bn multiyearinvestment plan will continue to face project delays due to weak copper prices.

Table Of Contents

Chile Mining Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Chile Mining Industry Value Forecast (2014-2020) 7
Latest Updates and Structural Trends 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 10
Copper: Insufficient Water, Power To Weigh On Growth 10
Table: Copper Production Forecast (Chile 2014-2020) 10
Table: Chile - Major New Copper Projects and Expansions 11
Structural Trends 11
Gold: Weak Prices To Delay Projects 14
Table: Gold Production (Chile 2014-2020) 14
Table: Chile - Key Gold Projects 15
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 17
Chile Risk/Reward Index 17
Rewards 17
Industry Rewards 17
Country Rewards 17
Risks 17
Industry Risks 17
Country Risks 18
Americas - Risk/Reward Divergence To Emerge 18
Key Takeaways 18
Latest Revisions 19
Table: Americas - Mining Risk/Reward Index 20
Regulatory Development 21
Commodities Forecast 25
Commodities Outlook 25
Table: BMI Commodities Price Forecasts 25
Competitive Landscape 26
Sectors 26
Table: Chile - Select Companies Financial Data, 2014 27
Company Profile 28
Antofagasta - Q2 2016 28
Latest Results 30
Table: Enter table header 31
Codelco - Q2 2016 33
Latest Results 35
Table: Codelco - Key Financial Data 36
Global Company Strategy - Anglo American - Q2 2016 37
Company Strategy 40
Latest Results 42
Table: Anglo American - Financial Data 43
Regional Overview 44
Methodology 49
Industry Forecast Methodology 49
Sources 50
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 51
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 52

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Related Market Segments :

Copper
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ref:plp2016

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