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  3. > Mexico Retail Report Q2 2016

Mexico Retail Report Q2 2016

  • February 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 55 pages

BMI View: Growing household income will continue to drive growth in the middle class and uplift theMexican population over the 2016-2020 forecast period. Rising employment and a stable political andeconomic outlook will dampen volatility in the country and foster steady growth in household spending, asmore disposable income becomes available to consumers, despite the effect of recent interest rate hikes.Together, these factors will expand the consumer market and bolster consumer confidence, creating afavourable environment for retailers as internal consumption and economic activity expand. Growth acrossall sub-sectors will be strong, but e-commerce and online sales can be expected to see explosive upwardtrajectory. Additionally, the food & drinks sub-sector will continue to see the emergence of higher valuepremium brands as consumers seek more aspirational products and brands.

Key Views & Developments

- We expect household consumption to continue to improve, thanks to a stronger labour market(unemployment stands at 4.1%, beating the US's 5.0%), and higher wages. This will be further supportedby low inflation), which will help support real purchasing power.

Table Of Contents

Mexico Retail Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Headline Retail Forecast 11
Table: Total Household Spending (Mexico 2013-2020) 12
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Mexico 2013-2020) 13
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (Mexico 2013-2020) 15
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Mexico 2013-2020) 16
Retail Sector Forecast 17
Food, Drink and Tobacco 18
Table: Food, Drink and Tobacco Spending (Mexico 2013-2020) 18
Clothing And Footwear 19
Table: Clothing and Footwear Spending (Mexico 2013-2020) 19
Household Goods 19
Table: Household Goods Spending (Mexico 2013-2020) 20
Personal Care And Effects 21
Table: Personal Care Spending (Mexico 2013-2020) 21
Household Numbers And Income Forecast 22
Table: Household Income Data (Mexico 2013-2020) 23
Table: Labour Market Data (Mexico 2013-2020) 25
Demographic Forecast 25
Table: Total Population (Mexico 2013-2020) 26
Table: Population: Babies (Mexico 2013-2020) 27
Table: Population: Young Children (Mexico 2013-2020) 27
Table: Population: Children (Mexico 2013-2020) 27
Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (Mexico 2013-2020) 28
Table: Population: Young People (Mexico 2013-2020) 28
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Mexico 2013-2020) 29
Table: Population: 21yrs + (Mexico 2013-2020) 29
Table: Population: Young Adults (Mexico 2013-2020) 30
Table: Population: Middle Aged (Mexico 2013-2020) 30
Table: Population: Urban (Mexico 2013-2020) 30
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 31
Latin America Risk/Reward Index 31
Table: Latin America Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q216 31
Mexico Risk/Reward Index 32
Rewards 32
Risks 33
Market Overview 35
Competitive Landscape 39
Clothing and Footwear 39
Table: Major Clothing And Footwear Retailers 39
Household Goods 40
Table: Major Household Goods Retailers 40
Electronics 40
Table: Major Electronics Retailers 40
Department Stores 40
Table: Major Department Stores 40
E-commerce 41
Table: Major E-commerce Retailers 41
Pharmacies And Drug Stores 41
Table: Major Pharmacies and Drug Stores 41
Glossary 42
Methodology 49
Industry Forecast Methodology 49
Sources 52
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 52
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators 53
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 55

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