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Brazil Infrastructure Report Q2 2016

  • April 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 67 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

- We are broadly maintaining our outlook for Brazil's construction sector after 2015 real growth came inline with our estimate, at -7.6%. We maintain our expectation for the recession to persist in 2016, albeiteasing to -2.7%, with a deeper recession expected in the broader economy and ongoing implications fromthe Lava Jato corruption scandal directly impacting the construction sector and creating significantpolitical uncertainty.

- We continue to expect growth to return in 2017, although we have marginally downgraded our forecast to2.2%. Risks are heavily to the downside from growing momentum behind efforts to remove PresidentDilma Rousseff from office either through invalidating the election results or impeachment - although ourcore view is currently for Rousseff to serve out the remainder of her term.

- With President Rousseff having lost considerable political capital and the Brazilian government as awhole in turmoil, we see little indication that necessary reforms to restructure the market will take place.For example, efforts to remove a reliance on government financing for infrastructure have been woundback as the recession takes hold and the government seeks to support the sector. Without major structuralchanges, we expect Brazil's construction industry to continue to underperform its significant potential,and thus maintain our muted long-term forecast, averaging 1.8% between 2017 and 2025.

Table Of Contents

Brazil Infrastructure Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Brazil Construction Industry Forecast 8
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index (Brazil) 8
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario 11
Latest Updates 11
Table: Brazil 10-Year Construction Industry Forecast 12
Structural Trends 12
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 16
Latest Updates 16
Table: Brazil 10-Year Transport Infrastructure Industry Forecast 17
Structural Trends 17
Table: 2015 Transport Concessions Plan - Allocations 18
Table: Transport Projects 23
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 24
Latest Updates 24
Table: Brazil 10-Year Energy and Utilities Industry Forecast 25
Structural Trends 25
Table: Energy and Utilities Projects 32
Residential/Non-Residential Building - Outlook And Overview 33
Latest Updates 33
Table: Brazil 10 Year Residential and Non-Residential Industry Forecast 34
Structural Trends 34
Table: Construction And Social Infrastructure Key Projects 41
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 42
Brazil - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 42
Risk/Reward Index 42
Rewards 42
Risks 43
Latin America Industry Risk/Reward Index 45
Table: Latin America Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 50
Market Overview 51
Competitive Landscape 51
Table: Key Company Financials 53
Company Profile 55
Odebrecht 55
Table: Odebrecht Financial Data 58
Methodology 60
Industry Forecast Methodology 60
Sector-Specific Methodology 61
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 65
Sector-Specific Methodology 66
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 66
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 67

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