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  5. > Argentina Oil and Gas Report Q2 2016

Argentina Oil and Gas Report Q2 2016

  • April 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 117 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Highly prospective acreage, a strengthening competitive landscape and supportive pricingdynamics will help insulate the Argentine shale sector from aggressive clawbacks in industry spending. Ashift toward a more centrist government under the newly inaugurated Macri administration will open upsignificant investment opportunities in Argentina, particularly within the oil and gas sector. As such, thecore Neuquén shale province will experience increased development over the course of the next decade,although more peripheral shale formations could take longer to develop.The main trends and developments we highlight in the Argentine oil and gas sector are:

- Argentine real GDP growth will begin to accelerate starting in H216 following a sharp contraction in thefirst half of the year, as the economy benefits from the economic reforms pushed through by PresidentMauricio Macri. These policies will erode short-term private consumption but will usher in a period ofmore robust long-term growth, benefiting upstream development of both oil and natural gas resources.

- Argentinean shale prospects will be resilient in the face of volatility in oil prices as low commercialbreakevens and vast proven reserves will encourage continued investment into the sector thanks to animproving regulatory environment

- Extended subsidies for Argentine crude exports announced on March 11 will help fund extraction ofheavier domestic grades by key producers through Q216, mitigating the effects of a broad industrydownturn. The policy strengthens President Macri's commitment to the industry, underpinning our upbeatoutlook for the year.

- Natural gas re-exports from Chile to Argentina in 2016 mark a critical turning point in energy relationsbetween the two countries. Trade will be supported by key infrastructure expansions in Chile, the US, andPanama and will provide Argentina with up to 5.5mn cubic metres per day (mcm/d) of natural gasthrough the five-month winter season from May through September, supporting a seasonal uptick indemand amid a continued deficit of domestic supplies.

Table Of Contents

Argentina Oil and Gas Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (Argentina 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 9
Oil and Gas SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Upstream Exploration 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 11
Table: Amended Hydrocarbons Law 12
Upstream Projects 16
Table: Argentina Major Upstream Projects 16
Upstream Production - Oil 18
Latest Updates 18
Structural Trends 18
Table: Oil Production (Argentina 2014-2019) 22
Table: Oil Production (Argentina 2020-2025) 22
Upstream Production - Gas 23
Latest Updates 23
Structural Trends 23
Table: Gas Production (Argentina 2014-2019) 25
Table: Gas Production (Argentina 2020-2025) 26
Refining 27
Latest Updates 27
Structural Trends 27
Table: Refined Products Consumption (Argentina 2014-2019) 29
Table: Refined Products Consumption (Argentina 2020-2025) 29
Refined Fuels Consumption 30
Latest Updates 30
Structural Trends 30
Table: Refined Products Consumption (Argentina 2014-2019) 31
Table: Refined Products Consumption (Argentina 2020-2025) 32
Gas Consumption 33
Latest Updates 33
Structural Trends 33
Table: Gas Consumption (Argentina 2014-2019) 36
Table: Gas Consumption (Argentina 2020-2025) 36
Trade - Oil 37
Latest Updates 37
Structural Trends 37
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Argentina 2014-2020) 39
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Argentina 2020-2025) 39
Latest Updates 39
Structural Trends 39
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Argentina 2014-2019) 40
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Argentina 2020-2025) 41
Trade - Gas (Pipeline and LNG) 42
Latest Updates 42
Structural Trends 42
Table: Gas Net Exports (Argentina 2014-2019) 45
Table: Gas Net Exports (Argentina 2020-2025) 45
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 46
Latin America - Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 46
Table: Latin America - Composite Risk/Reward Index 46
Composite RRI: Sector Shifts Continue To Take Shape 47
Upstream: Few Shifts, But Changes Loom 48
Table: Latin America - Upstream Risk/Reward Index 49
Downstream: Medium-Term Outlook Reinforces Current Dynamics 51
Table: Latin America Downstream Risk/Reward Index 53
Argentina - Risk/Reward Index 54
Upstream Index - Overview 54
Downstream Index - Overview 55
Market Overview 56
Argentina Energy Market Overview 56
Overview/State Role 56
Licensing And Regulation 57
Government Policy 57
Licensing Rounds 58
International Energy Relations 59
Oil And Gas Infrastructure 62
Oil Refineries 62
Table: Refineries In Argentina 62
Service Stations 63
Oil Terminals/Ports 63
Oil Pipelines 64
LNG Terminals 64
Gas Storage 65
Gas Pipelines 65
Competitive Landscape 68
Competitive Landscape Summary 68
Table: Key Players - Argentine Oil And Gas Sector 70
Table: Key Upstream Players 70
Table: Key Downstream Players 71
Company Profile 72
YPF 72
Petrobras 78
Chevron 82
Total 85
ExxonMobil 89
Royal Dutch Shell 92
Other Summaries 95
Regional Overview 99
Latin America Overview 99
Table: Latin America Oil And Gas Production, Refining Capacity And Trade, 2013-2024 108
Glossary 110
Table: Glossary Of Terms 110
Methodology 112
Industry Forecast Methodology 112
Source 114
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 114
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 116
Table: Weighting 117

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