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Venezuela Retail Report Q2 2016

  • April 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 56 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: While long-term prospects look favourable for Venezuela, the short-term growth forecastremains uncertain, and at best will remain subdued over the medium run. The ruling government's highlyinterventionist stance in retail, along with high inflation, a weak currency and subdued oil revenues providefor a uncertain economic outlook remain the greatest challenges facing the retail sector. The effect will seea rapid contraction in spending and disposable income levels and purely essentials focussed purchases asconsumer confidence remains low.

Key Views & Developments

- While the country's economic struggles continue, discount retailers and sellers of basic goods willcontinue to perform relatively well.

- Low oil prices will continue, affecting Venezuela's balance of payments picture and government income.This will have a negative impact on the government's extensive subsidy programmes and will damageconsumer confidence.

Table Of Contents

Venezuela Retail Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Headline Retail Forecast 11
Table: Total Household Spending (Venezuela 2013-2020) 12
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Venezuela 2013-2020) 13
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (Venezuela 2013-2020) 14
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Venezuela 2013-2020) 16
Retail Sector Forecast 18
Food and Drink 19
Table: Food, Drink and Tobacco Spending (Venezuela 2013-2020) 20
Clothing and Footwear 20
Table: Clothing and Footwear Spending (Venezuela 2013-2020) 21
Household Goods 21
Table: Household Goods Spending (Venezuela 2013-2020) 22
Personal Care 22
Table: Personal Care Spending (Venezuela 2013-2020) 23
Household Income And Numbers Forecast 24
Table: Household Income Data (Venezuela 2013-2020) 24
Table: Labour Market Data (Venezuela 2013-2020) 27
Demographic Forecast 28
Table: Total Population (Venezuela 2013-2020) 29
Table: Population: Babies (Venezuela 2013-2020) 30
Table: Population: Children (Venezuela 2013-2020) 30
Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (Venezuela 2013-2020) 30
Table: Population: Young People (Venezuela 2013-2020) 31
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Venezuela 2013-2020) 31
Table: Population: 21yrs + (Venezuela 2013-2020) 31
Table: Population: Young Adults (Venezuela 2013-2020) 32
Table: Population: Middle Aged (Venezuela 2013-2020) 32
Table: Population: Urban (Venezuela 2013-2020) 32
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 33
Latin America Risk/Reward Index 33
Table: Latin America Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q216 33
Venezuela - Risk/Reward Index 34
Rewards 34
Risks 35
Market Overview 36
Competitive Landscape 39
Clothing and Footwear 39
Table: Selected Clothing and Footwear Retailers 39
Household Goods 40
Table: Selected Household Goods Retailers 40
Electronics 40
Table: Selected Electronics Retailers 40
Department Stores 41
Table: Selected Department Stores 41
E-Commerce 41
Table: Selected E-Commerce Retailers 41
Pharmacies 42
Table: Selected Pharmaceutical Retailers 42
Glossary 43
Methodology 50
Industry Forecast Methodology 50
Sources 53
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 53
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators 54
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 56

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