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Peru Retail Report Q2 2016

  • January 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 58 pages

BMI View: Household spending is set to continue to show strong growth in 2016, rising by a little over7.5% year-on-year (y-o-y) in local currency terms, although in USD terms it will register a decline due tothe falling value of the PEN. Peru is expected to have 80 shopping malls by the end of the year, which,together with a growing e-commerce sector, increasing affluence and credit availability, will supportfurther growth in non-essentials spending during the year.

Key Views & Developments:

- The Peruvian consumer has proved resilient to economic headwinds stemming from a contraction in thecountry's key mining sector, and we expect private consumption to accelerate in 2016, mainly due tostrong job generation in the services sector and continued low fuel prices.

- Recreation and culture spending will reach 30.1% of total household spending in 2016, following animpressive 10.3% y-o-y increase in local currency terms.

Table Of Contents

Peru Retail Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Retail SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Headline Retail Forecast 11
Table: Total Household Spending (Peru 2013-2020) 12
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Peru 2013-2020) 12
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (Peru 2013-2020) 15
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Peru 2013-2020) 16
Retail Sector Forecast 18
Food and Drink 19
Table: Food, Drink and Tobacco Spending (Peru 2013-2020) 20
Clothing and Footwear 20
Table: Clothing and Footwear Spending (Peru 2013-2020) 21
Household Goods 21
Table: Household Goods Spending (Peru 2013-2020) 21
Personal Care And Effects 22
Table: Personal Care Spending (Peru 2013-2020) 23
Household Numbers And Income Forecast 24
Table: Household Income Data (Peru 2013-2020) 24
Table: Labour Market Data (Peru 2013-2020) 27
Demographic Forecast 28
Table: Total Population (Peru 2013-2020) 29
Table: Population: Babies (Peru 2013-2020) 30
Table: Population: Young Children (Peru 2013-2020) 30
Table: Population: Children (Peru 2013-2020) 30
Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (Peru 2013-2020) 31
Table: Population: Young People (Peru 2013-2020) 31
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Peru 2013-2020) 31
Table: Population: 21yrs + (Peru 2013-2020) 32
Table: Population: Young Adults (Peru 2013-2020) 32
Table: Population: Middle Aged (Peru 2013-2020) 32
Table: Population: Urban (Peru 2013-2020) 33
Industry Risk/Reward Index 34
Latin America Risk/Reward Index 34
Table: Latin America Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q216 34
Peru Risk/Reward Index 35
Rewards 35
Risks 36
Market Overview 37
Retail Sub-Sectors 38
Competitive Landscape 42
Table: Clothing and Footwear 42
Table: Household Goods/Homeware/Home Improvement 42
Table: Electronics 43
Table: Department Stores 43
Table: E-commerce 44
Table: Pharmacies 44
Glossary 45
Methodology 52
Industry Forecast Methodology 52
Sources 55
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 55
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators 56
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 58

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