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  4. > South Africa Commercial Banking Report Q2 2016

South Africa Commercial Banking Report Q2 2016

  • February 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 74 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates
BMI’s commercial banking forecast series covers 62 countries accounting for 80% of global GDP. Each report, researched at source, features BMI’s independent assessment and 5-year forecasts to end-2017 for the commercial banking sector in each market. Using its expertise in both country risk and financial markets analysis, BMI has created exclusive models to forecast a wealth of key variables on the commercial banking sector. Historic and forecast data are provided for the sector’s total asset and liability growth, client loans, and client deposits. Forecasts for key ratios including the loan-deposit ratio and the loan-asset ratio are also included, as well as core macro-economic forecasts. Data is presented in both local currency and US dollar terms.

Each report examines key drivers of growth and future prospects, including the macroeconomic situation, the level of development and potential for growth of the banking sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, government policy and the regulatory environment.

Central to BMI’s analysis are our unique Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings. BMI’s unique country-comparative Risk-Reward Rating provides a clear, quantified, independent assessment of the opportunities and dangers of operating in each market. The methodology draws together our in-depth knowledge of competitive pressures, our comprehensive industry market forecasts, and our Country Risk team’s unrivalled analysis of economic, political and operational risks.

The reports also feature profiles of leading banks, covering total assets, liabilities, client deposits, lending, bond holdings, main products and services, competitive positioning and ownership structure.

Table Of Contents

South Africa Commercial Banking Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View ... 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Key Ratios, September 2015 7
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2015-2020 (%) 7
Table: Ranking Out Of 75 Countries Reviewed In 2016 . 8
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators, 2013-2020 8
SWOT 9
Commercial Banking .. 9
Political . 10
Economic ... 11
Operational Risk . 12
Industry Forecast .. 14
Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index ... 17
Middle East and Africa Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index .. 17
Table: Middle East and Africa Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index . . 18
Market Overview ... 19
Middle East and Africa Commercial Banking Outlook 19
Table: Banks' Bond Portfolios, 2014 . 19
Table: Comparison Of Loan/Deposit, Loan/Asset And Loan/GDP Ratios, 2016 . 20
Table: Comparison Of Total Assets, Client Loans And Client Deposits (USDbn) 21
Table: Comparison Of USD Per Capita Deposits, 2016 . . 22
Economic Analysis ... 23
Table: Economic Activity (South Africa 2010-2019) 25
Competitive Landscape 26
Market Structure . 26
Protagonists .. 26
Table: Protagonists In South Africa's Commercial Banking Sector 26
Definition of The Commercial Banking Universe .. 26
List Of Banks . 27
Table: Member Banks . 27
Company Profile 29
Absa Bank (Barclays Africa Group) 29
Table: Balance Sheet (ZARmn) . 31
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) . 32
Table: Key Ratios (%) . 32
African Bank .. 33
Table: Stock Market Indicators . 35
Table: Balance Sheet (ZARmn) . 35
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) . 35
Table: Key Ratios (%) . 36
FirstRand ... 37
Table: Stock Market Indicators . 39
Table: Balance Sheet (ZARmn) . 40
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) . 40
Table: Key Ratios (%) . 40
Investec . 41
Table: Stock Market Indicators . 43
Table: Balance Sheet (ZARmn) . 43
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) . 43
Table: Key Ratios (%) . 44
Nedbank Group ... 45
Table: Stock Market Indicators . 47
Table: Balance Sheet (ZARmn) . 47
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) . 47
Table: Key Ratios (%) . 48
Standard Bank 49
Table: Stock Market Indicators . 51
Table: Balance Sheet (ZARmn) . 51
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) . 51
Table: Key Ratios (%) . 52
Regional Overview 53
Africa Overview .. 53
Global Industry Overview .. 58
Global Commercial Banking Overview 58
Regional Outlooks .. 58
Demographic Forecast . 65
Demographic Outlook .. 65
Table: Population Headline Indicators (South Africa 1990-2025) . 66
Table: Key Population Ratios (South Africa 1990-2025) . 66
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (South Africa 1990-2025) 67
Table: Population By Age Group (South Africa 1990-2025) . 67
Table: Population By Age Group % (South Africa 1990-2025) . 68
Methodology .. 70
Industry Forecast Methodology 70
Sector-Specific Methodology 71
Risk/Reward Index Methodology ... 72
Table: Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index Indicators . 73
Table: Weighting Of Indicators . 74

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