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  4. > United States Petrochemicals Report Q2 2016

United States Petrochemicals Report Q2 2016

  • April 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 119 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

The US petrochemicals market was expected to see some tightening in H116 amid plant turnarounds, butoverall the year will see a softening of prices amid slower end-market growth and rising output. As a result,US petrochemicals margins are set to decline, undermining profitability and potentially prompting delays inexpansion projects.In 2016, the US petrochemicals industry is likely to witness more downside risk. The Chemical ActivityBarometer (CAB) three-month moving average (3MMA), a leading economic indicator created by theAmerican Chemistry Council (ACC), slipped 0.1% in February following flat performance in January andtwo months of revised gains in November and December 2015.

However, the level in February was still up1.5% y-o-y. In February, production-related indicators were mixed, reflecting some improvement in plasticresins used in packaging, as well as a downturn in certain performance chemistries related to the oil and gassector.US petrochemicals' competitiveness is being challenged as its dominant ethane feedstock faces Asian andEuropean rivals that are benefitting from sustained low naphtha feedstock costs. US production retains afavourable edge in the cost curve, supply chains are well integrated and feed is sufficient to fulfil thedemand of new capacity. However, lower margins could lead to some projects being postponed orreconsidered.

Table Of Contents

United States Petrochemicals Report Q2 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Political 11
Economic 12
Operational Risk 13
Industry Forecast 14
Production 14
Consumption 17
Table: US Petrochemicals Industry, 2012-2020 ('000tpa, unless otherwise stated) 18
Macroeconomic Forecasts 19
Economic Analysis 19
Industry Risk/Reward Ratings 22
Americas Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 22
Table: Americas Petrochemicals Risk/Rewards Ratings 25
Market Overview 26
Table: Geographical Concentration Of Chemicals Production 28
Industry Trends And Developments 30
Mergers and Acquisitions 30
Cracker Developments 32
Table: US Cracker Projects 32
Table: US Petrochemicals Expansions under consideration 32
Polymers And Intermediates 34
Methanol 36
Fertiliser 37
Refining 37
Regulatory Development 39
Hydraulic Fracturing (Fracking) 40
Competitive Landscape 44
Upstream 44
Table: Olefins Production Capacity ('000tpa) 46
Aromatics 49
Table: Aromatics And Derivatives Capacity ('000tpa) 50
Mixed Xylenes 51
Table: Xylenes Capacity ('000tpa) 51
Table: US Polyethylene Manufacturing And Applications 52
Table: PE Chain Capacity ('000tpa) 53
Table: US PP Capacity ('000tpa) 58
Table: PVC Chain Capacity ('000tpa) 58
Table: PS Chain Capacity ('000tpa) 60
Polyethylene Terephthalate (PET) 61
Table: US Petrochemicals Sector - PET Chain Capacity ('000tpa) 62
Company Profile 64
BP 64
Chevron Phillips Chemical Company 67
Dow Chemical 70
Table: Dow Financial Results (USmn) 73
ExxonMobil 74
Huntsman 78
Table: Huntsman (USDmn) 79
Ineos 80
LyondellBasell 82
Table: LyondellBasell Financial Results (USDmn) 83
Shell Chemicals 84
Westlake Chemical 87
Table: Westlake Chemical Financial Results (USDmn) 88
Regional Overview 90
Americas Overview 90
Table: Planned Cracker Projects 95
Global Industry Overview 96
Global - Crude Oil, Refined Fuels And Natural Gas Prices 106
Table: Global Energy Price Forecasts (2014-2019) 106
Table: Global Energy Price Forecasts (2020-2025) 107
Demographic Forecast 109
Table: Population Headline Indicators (United States 1990-2025) 110
Table: Key Population Ratios (United States 1990-2025) 110
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (United States 1990-2025) 111
Table: Population By Age Group (United States 1990-2025) 111
Table: Population By Age Group % (United States 1990-2025) 112
Glossary 114
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms 114
Methodology 115
Industry Forecast Methodology 115
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 117
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators 118
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 119

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